“Worldwide PC shipments totaled 71.9 million units in the fourth quarter of 2015 (4Q15), a year-on-year decline of -10.6%, according to the International Data Corporation”
See PC Market Finishes 2015 As Expected, Hopefully Setting the Stage for a More Stable FutureWintel hasn’t seen shipments of PCs like this since 2008 and that was before GNU/Linux and OS/X took a bite. At its height shipments of PCs were ~90million per quarter and M$ had a huge chunk. They still have a lot of PCs but, with thin clients and other operating systems, the share is way down.
There isn’t any end in sight. As ARM and particularly ARM on mobile devices grows Wintel is being squeezed out of personal IT. Long ago, I and many others cut out That Other OS. Now many millions, billions even, are cutting out Intel. Both heads of the Wintel monopoly are diversifying as fast as they can and cutting prices or moving “profit centers” to avoid being trapped under the weight of their own handiwork. The world just doesn’t need either any longer but it does take a few years to switch over so much installed base of IT. It’s a process, not an event, just like sickness. It remains to be seen whether this is a mortal wounding or just an injury both can survive. I expect that both will survive but both will be cut down to size and only get a normal share of the pie instead of the whole thing.