No Ceiling For GNU/Linux On The Desktop

“as long as the Linux and open source community continue to fight among themselves, this will never happen. Without a convergent effort from the current user base, Linux will continue to hit the same ceiling that has held it down for years.”
 
See Misplaced ire toward Ubuntu and Canonical is hurting Linux
There is no ceiling on GNU/Linux adoption on desktops. US DOJ, EU Commission, the market, Google, Samsung, etc. have spread the word far and wide and weakened the Wintel monopoly. No magical convergence on Canonical/Ubuntu GNU/Linux is necessary for this movement. M$ did it to itself by shipping junk and charging too much and restricting too much for the consumer/business to tolerate. Everyone is looking at every opportunity to escape monopoly in IT. That’s happening this year. That’s a continuation of the maturation process which probably started back when IBM endorsed GNU/Linux. Canonical/Ubuntu is not the thing that did it. They were just one step in a long chain of little victories over tyranny.

Yesterday, with nearly 2 billion citizens of the Internet, GNU/Linux desktops had 1.75%, ~35million. Chrome GNU/Linux had 0.46%, ~10million, with another 7million expected in 2015. Then there’s Android/Linux, don’t you know? What ceiling? Units are shipping right from the OEMs to consumers and organizations large and small. The only limitation is the imagination of folks who know about GNU/Linux, not any need to collaborate in Canonical’s dream.

GNU/Linux works for people as does */Linux generally. It’s not broken. There’s nothing that needs fixing, just the usual gradual improvements/enrichment. 2015 is The Year Of The GNU/Linux desktop. In the first quarter the world went crazy adopting GNU/Linux and while much of it was Ubuntu, every other distro has a shot. The year began with GNU/Linux page-views at 1.5% and in May we saw 2%. Much of Europe is over 3%. Salesmen help but not are not an essential element of adoptions of FLOSS. People adopt FLOSS. They don’t need to buy it. Don’t fix what’s not broken. Introduce people to GNU/Linux. Put it on retail shelves. Tell your friends. Ask for it by name instead of the “no Linux” Ubuntu

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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3 Responses to No Ceiling For GNU/Linux On The Desktop

  1. oiaohm says:

    Sorry kurkosdr as normal research on topic is lacking.

    Dell is the major backer of Ubuntu
    HP is the major backer of Debian
    Then you have Russia as part of the BRICS countries the as the major backer of Sailfish OS.

    http://www.jollausers.com/2015/05/sailfish-os-to-become-russias-official-operating-system-for-mobile/
    Now that one is interesting reading right.

    Somehow I think you better reserve judgement on the Android one. Android is the stepping stone that got Sailfish OS driver access on a lot of chipsets.

    Really most of the FOSS people are not frustrated by the victories of the by Android, Tivo, and Enigma2 every one has brought extra features in. Enigma2 itself source code is publicly open and all drivers are pushed upstream.

    http://dream.reichholf.net/wiki/Enigma2

    In time order Tivo then Engima2. Notice Tivo internal programs are full secret how they operate. Engima2 is more open than Tivo. The item to replace Engima2 will most likely be more open.
    http://www.openpctv.com/
    Yes Enigma2 you can use on a general PC if you like. The prosses of the Linux graphical subsystem tide up with KMS/DRI to replace framebuffer under Linux some point in future will see Enigma2 as possibly are normal Linux Desktop application.

  2. kurkosdr wrote, “I hope Ubuntu gets some kind of traction (6-7% globally or so), while the rest of Desktop Linux stays at <0.5%".

    Anything’s possible but that’s not very likely. Just as one version of That Other OS does not please everyone, it’s unlikely that Ubuntu GNU/Linux will please everyone who chooses GNU/Linux. The reasons for choosing GNU/Linux or migrating from TOOS are many and no distro can count on hitting all the buttons. For those with the technical ability/interest to customize a distro, almost any distro would do. That Canonical starts from Debian GNU/Linux is telling. It means Canonical admits it does not have all the answers. I think if Debian is good enough for Canonical, it’s good enough for me and I don’t need anything from Canonical.

    Still there’s no doubt that Ubuntu GNU/Linux is the most popular distro but that’s mostly with help from OEMs putting it on units. OEMs don’t have any particular reason to stick to Ubuntu rather than Debian, SUSE or RedHat, all likely candidates for an OEM’s distro. As OEMs become more familiar with GNU/Linux, they may create their own industry-standard distro, rather than being whipped by Canonical.

  3. kurkosdr says:

    Deep inside, I hope Ubuntu gets some kind of traction (6-7% globally or so), while the rest of Desktop Linux stays at <0.5%, just so the FOSSies can be frusrtated at yet another victory of linux that isn't theirs and is not the kind of victory they desire (others include Tivo, Enigma2, Android in case you were wondering)

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