Good News And Bad News Depending On Whether Or Not You Enslave People To Wintel

Well, the good news for me is that shipments of PCs, mostly Wintel desktops and notebooks is down 4.4% compared to last year.“Worldwide PC shipments have now declined for eight consecutive quarters as a result of shifting technology usage and competition (notably with tablets & smartphones) as well as economic pressures (including high unemployment, slow growth & investment, tight credit, and currency fluctuations) related to the Great Recession, sovereign debt crises, and their related impact on international trade” The news could have been better if more XP units were migrated to GNU/Linux or Android/Linux but it’s not clear because IDC doesn’t publicly report that division. My view is that since most legacy PCs ship with Wintel, down is a good thing. GNU/Linux is holding its own despite that decline so shipments of GNU/Linux must be up.

The bad news for me is that still too many people are locked in to Wintel and don’t see that they are being ripped off or are working hard to ignore that fact. I do notice that Wintel prices are coming down rapidly. My favourite supplier will sell motherboard and CPU (AMD) for much less than $90. A good ARMed system will trump that with more throughput and far less wasted power but it’s good that it’s available. Dell, here, in Canada, even shows the price of that other OS on Intel boxes. Unfortunately, they only sell one GNU/Linux box… It’s the token OS for Dell and that box is priced outrageously at $943 even with GNU/Linux. What are they thinking? Money grows on trees? Wintel still has a monopoly? Nope. Consumers can get better for $400. Wintel is still not even close to providing what consumers want.

Still, overall, we are seeing competition actually gain traction against Wintel. OEMs, retailers and consumers are actually seeing a major share of the market go to other platforms. Most consumers are happy with Android/Linux on ARM. Imagine how overjoyed they would be with GNU/Linux on ARM… I’m looking forward to more good news when M$ reports in a couple of weeks.

See Windows XP Migration and Commercial Spending Helped Offset Weak Consumer PC Demand in the First Quarter of 2014.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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10 Responses to Good News And Bad News Depending On Whether Or Not You Enslave People To Wintel

  1. ram says:

    UEFI is still a big issue. It is driving people away from “desktop PC’s” and towards “mini-servers” or “personal servers” which cost only slightly more and will run Linux without problems.

  2. rudregues says:

    Ok… I’ll admit… I’m very proud of the Linux community!
    It’s very common to see “well, I like Linux but my software doesn’t work…”
    But I saw a spanish example to how migrate to Linux and use your software inside it:
    “Todas tienen software para Windows, pero ninguno para Linux. Al hablar con ellos, les comento que vamos a migrar a Linux y que si su software no funciona en Linux cambiaremos esos libros de texto por otros que nos lo pongan más sencillo o simplemente tengan software multiplataforma. O se ponen las pilas para que funcionen con Linux o vamos a buscar alternativas.”
    A free translation by me would be:
    “All have software for Windows, but none for Linux. Talking to them, I mention that we will be migrating for Linux and if your software doesn’t work with Linux we will replace these textbooks with another simpler or another multiplatform. Put your work with Linux or we will search alternatives.”
    This teacher teaches not just his students, but all of us. We must say what we want or not. We are the consumers. If someone doesn’t respect this we can and will search better alternatives.

  3. dougman says:

    LOL…Wolfie off his rocker

    Oh no, lets not remember that MicroSh1t is a convicted monopolist.

    United States v. Microsoft Corporation
    – US v. Microsoft Corp., 97 F. Supp. 2d 59 – Dist. Court, Dist. of Columbia 2000
    – US v. Microsoft Corp., 253 F. 3d 34 – Court of Appeals, Dist. of Columbia Circuit 2001

  4. wolfgang says:

    …illegal cartel…

    not so sure you right about that. every lawyer in world out to chop hunk off microsoft pie, but never hear about anyone trying that. must not be too popular thought. maybe microsoft and intel prefer mutually beneficial symbiosis instead. Sound more upbeat like teamwork.

  5. wolfgang says:

    …ibm second source…

    look in wiki world and find that ibm had 3 programming systems available for pc. wiki says IBM BASIC / PC DOS 1.0, CP/M-86, UCSD p-System. seems to me like people elected pcdos after run-off with losers. linux come much later to party, I think, too much later.

    Wolfgang remember that cpm was big noise in home computer world way back then, so competition not so easy for microsoft.

  6. wolfgang wrote, “doesn’t like to see rich get richer, so not mind if poor get poorer from same process.”

    Someone can get rich by investing $100 and guessing right often enough. Someone can get rich by buying low and selling high. One can even get rich by working hard for a lifetime and being careful about money. However Intel and M$ never did anything to ensure their riches except by forming an illegal cartel to monopolize the PC market. If IBM had demanded second sources for software as they did with hardware, we would have had diversity and not monopoly in IT. The world does not owe those folks a living. They should work for it like everyone else. Producing, selling, buying, and using FLOSS on ARM is a great cure for the mistakes of our ancestors and it will keep Wintel honest. Just watch the next few quarterly reports from M$ to the SEC. M$ is just coasting now and will produce far fewer multi-millionaires from now on. In fact, I would not be surprised to see GNU/Linux make huge gains with business/servers now that Lenovo has bought both sides of IBM’s x86/amd64 business. Instead of 80-90% of IT platforms, M$ and Intel will drift down to 1/N, whatever N is.

  7. wolfgang says:

    …Pogson happy fellow…

    doesn’t like to see rich get richer, so not mind if poor get poorer from same process. who gonna miss meal first? gates? coolie in china working for lenovo? bet I know.

  8. kurkosdr wrote, “Android devices are content consumption, communication and entertainment devices.”

    Nonsense. I take pictures which is content-creation, and send them to my server using AndFTP, an Android/Linux app. Then there’s GPS. That’s not about entertainment, but survival in the bush. It takes real work to survive. Heck, even M$ has an office app in there.

  9. dougman says:

    KUKU, at it again.

    Lets see, any electronic device can be used for consumption, communication and entertainment.

    KUKU, wants you to think only by using Windows, can work be done. LOL…

    KUKU, thinks one does NOT do work on a Android tablet or phone. *Rolls Eyes*

    NO one wants win32 apps, hell, no one is bothering to develop apps for Win8 or RT, M$ has reverted to bribing people to obtain their products.

    It is true, Windows is the consumption end of the Internet, while the backbone is ran by Linux, where ALL the work is done.

  10. kurkosdr says:

    You do understand that Windows PCs and Android devices are different kind of products? Android devices are content consumption, communication and entertainment devices. Windows PCs are used for entertainment and work, because they have win32 apps Android or Linux cannot dream of having. Apps used to get work done.

    I like how Linux folks think most people don’t use Windows to get work done. Anecdata FTW!!

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