Display Search has a blog entry about the future of computing.
- “How will the smartphone differentiate itself from mobile PCs and tablets, aside from screen size?”
- “What are smartphone makers working on to advance the smartphone revolution? How does the industry visualize the future of smartphones?”
- “When will we start to see mobile PCs, tablet PCs, and smartphones converge, if ever?”
- “Are there any smartphone characteristics that mobile PCs and tablets will never be able to emulate?”
They ask how much of IT will be about the smartphone. Some elements:
I think the future is now for consumers. The smartphone is the first line of computing for them. Consumers carry smartphones in pocket, purse, and holster, ready for anything from finding a route to travel, checking prices, taking photos, recording audio and video, and of course, talking. Many young people can type just as fast on a smartphone as they can on a real keyboard. It’s not that fast but it’s plenty good enough for the vast majority of users. I commented:
“Convergence is the key. Consumers have already decided a smartphone is a small cheap computer they can use for almost anything. Tablets, notebooks and desktops will all have to fight for share in the new universe of devices. I expect to see monitors, keyboard, mice and projectors that work with smartphones just as well as tablets, notebooks and desktops. I expect that most consumers will be able to choose their computer on price/performance from any style. I expect that businesses, governments, schools and organizations will all follow that lead. Unlike monopoly which stifles innovation, choice in the market will now eliminate all barriers to computing whether it is on price, performance, portability, size, complexity or maintainability. We are witnessing the personal computing revolution that was hijacked by Microsoft now free to evolve naturally, with the fittest surviving. The future of IT will be about diversity, not a small set of narrowly defined options.”
Look at it this way. The tiny mammals out-lasted the dinosaurs because they could reproduce faster and adapt better to changing conditions. The small cheap computers are kicking butt.