Which Is The Accessory And Which Is The GoTo Technology?

I just read that more than 1 billion smartphones may be shipped in 2014. When about ¼ as many legacy PCs ship, which is the accessory? If you hammer all day on the legacy PC, it must be the GoTo technology, but clearly with numbers like this, for many the smartphone is the thing.

The consequence of this is that Wintel is no longer the GoTo technology. Business is tight with it but for consumers that’s so 20th century. The young folks, the mobile folks, and the newbies to IT all are loving smartphones as affordable, mobile and capable IT. It means M$ is way below 50% of shipments of bundled operating systems on personal computers. It means M$ has reached a limit to its growth and probably has a lot of reorganization to do just to remain relevant. With web-applications and cloud services business has M$ on a leash that could be cut anytime. Business will expect increasing performance/price from M$ from now on. Governments may well abandon M$ sooner rather than later with security and open standards foremost in their thinking.

Just as the notebook took charge without some of us noticing, so has FLOSS. This is probably the last year M$ will get a free ride anywhere such as retail shelves or being able to thrive without much of an advertising budget. Their margins and/or prices will plunge in the coming year for consumers and they may well abandon consumers for business where their most loyal users reside. That may only buy them a year or two before they lose those.

2014 is looking to be a very good year, even better than 2013. I’m not having to close any Windows lately. They are being shattered by waves of consumerism and thrown into the trash.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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