Prospects

Here we are a year after M$ introduced its flagship… How’s it doing?
Declining_Growth_of_8
(Data from StatCounter. I combined “other” and “Linux” as Android/Linux + GNU/Linux being */Linux because some countries show Linux and Other and some show Android and Other. They need one more category.)
Oh-Oh! Despite all those salesmen and the bad habits of buyers everywhere, the thing is flattening out to the point where it looks as though “8” may never exceed 10% share of client OS page-views… Meanwhile, with more salesmen every month, */Linux continues steadily upward.

Check out M$’s total share…
TOS_decline_2013

Despite all those salesmen, the bad habits of buyers everywhere and savage lock-ins, the thing is on a downward trend with no end in sight. The average growth of */Linux share for the past year has been +2.5% per month while that other OS has a decline of 0.22% per month. The king just cannot get water to run uphill. I look forward to M$’s report to the SEC to be published in a week.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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3 Responses to Prospects

  1. Dr Loser wrote, ” Down from $4 billion a quarter to ~$3 billion.”

    M$: “Windows OEM revenue declined $237 million or 7%, reflecting a 22% decrease in OEM non-Pro revenue, offset in part by a 6% increase in OEM Pro revenue.”

    Down 22%. Uncanny is right. $4 down to $3 would be 25%. Worse yet for M$ is that “unearned revenue” the stuff business pays for in advance was down $2billion…

  2. Dr Loser says:

    Client side only. Down from $4 billion a quarter to ~$3 billion.
    I’m assuming that Robert is still standing by that obviously uncannily well-informed prediction.

  3. bw says:

    This just handed to me:

    SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Microsoft Corp. /quotes/zigman/20493/quotes/nls/msft MSFT +6.32% on Thursday reported a fiscal first-quarter profit of $5.24 billion, or 62 cents a share, on revenue of $18.53 billion. During the year-ago period, Microsoft earned $4.7 billion, or 53 cents a share, on $16 billion in sales. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast Microsoft to earn 54 cents a share on $17.8 billion in revenue. Microsoft shares rose almost 6% in after-hours trading following the release of its results.

    What were you predicting again? I forget.

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