Growth of */Linux and “8”

Occasionally some troll gives me a good idea for a post. Here’s one.

bw wrote, “Windows 8 has garnered nearly an order of magnitude more acceptance in the market in 20 weeks than Linux has in 20 years.”

No, “8″ has not been accepted by the market. It was largely forced on the market by M$ offering nothing better. M$ has had to relent and allow “7″ to continue because it was accepted. You can see that in the web-stats. “7″ is not declining despite the ramp in “8″. That is “8″ is not replacing “7″. It’s just the default offering to consumers.
“8″ is slowing down while GNU/Linux continues to accelerate. After M$’s salesmen choked the retail channels and stuff got sold, the underlying growth was revealed to be little different from */Linux.
Growth_Linux_and_8

M$ started “8” with a great sprint but has not much endurance as a powerhouse of IT.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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7 Responses to Growth of */Linux and “8”

  1. dougman says:

    BW reminds me of Piers Morgan, always dancing around the facts and ignoring data so that it ONLY suits his agenda.

  2. bw says:

    A lot of hand waving here! Some radical theories as well. If Windows 8 user share is increasing, something else has to be decreasing. It is just a percentage, after all, and cannot exceed 100% or go below zero. If it is not Win7 that is decreasing, then what is?

    Grouping Linux with Android is kind of lame as well. It is like adding rutabagas together with potatoes on the theory that they both grow in the ground as roots. All you have in Android is some elementary vestiges of Linux that no one really cares about. Product presentation, promotion, and use are totally different between the two.

    I might also note here that the Linux curve seems to be a drag on the pair. It is pointing down in your chartlet more than Android is pointing up so that the net is a downward line. Does that mean that the actual linear display would show an increasing negative curvature? Not a good sign, eh?

    You offer no answer to the question as to why the billion or more Android devices sold do not register very strongly on the internet user scale. Hagglund joins you in cackling over the lopsided unit counts of things sold with Windows inside and things sold with bits and bytes of Linux code inside, but he, too, offers no explanation as to why all those units do not seem to show up on the scale.

    Why do you continue to ignore this elephant in the room?

  3. Mats Hagglund says:

    And let’s not forget that computing in nowadays mostly (about 80%) mobile. Some 60% of new devices with internet connection are using Linux while Windows got only 14-22% market share.

  4. bw wrote, “Your theory is much less compelling with a linear scale versus a logarithmic one, too.”

    A line on a log plot is a curve of constant growth rate.

  5. oiaohm says:

    bw very big presume. Please take a closer look at FOSS sites. Surprising few have advertising. So looking for software a Linux user is going to cross less traceable locations.

    Next some Linux users will be running firefox in Wine. Yes stupid enough for particular sites this performs better.

    bw size of Internet in users suggest the volume sold so far of Android should only show a small percentage.

    Majority of Windows 8 number I would suspect to be upgrades.

  6. dougman says:

    Ubuntu users or Linux users in general, can ALWAYS do far more than Windows users.

  7. bw says:

    Unresolved is the question as to whether you are inspired or just goaded, eh? lol

    Your theory is much less compelling with a linear scale versus a logarithmic one, too. I sort of think that your data is coming from the wrong kind of source. Surely, with billions of Android devices lying about the world, it should put up more of a show in terms of internet usage than seems to be the case. Clearly the metrics are not showing relative population of devices. Is the usage so low for Android users? Or are they just not using the same things as the PC users? I think the latter myself.

    It is reasonable to posit that a user of an Ubuntu based laptop is likely to be doing essentially the same thing as a user of a Windows based laptop, but not phone users.

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