Of course, in 2001, there was that horror but today IDC had some very good news:
“September 11, 2013 â€“ The worldwide smart connected device market, comprised of PCs, tablets, and smartphones, is forecast to grow 27.8% year over year in 2013, slightly lower than the 30.3% growth in 2012. The growth will be driven by tablet and smartphone shipments, while the PC outlook has been lowered by 10% in 2013. As a result, the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Smart Connected Device Tracker expects tablet shipments to surpass total PC shipments (desktop plus portable PCs) in the fourth quarter of 2013 (4Q13). PCs shipments are still expected to be greater than tablet shipments for the full year, but IDC forecasts tablet shipments will surpass total PC shipments on an annual basis by the end of 2015. Smartphones will continue to ship in high volumes, surpassing 1.4 billion units in 2015 and accounting for 69% of all smart connected device shipments worldwide.”
This is good news because, while Wintel is slowly collapsing, */Linux on tablets and smartphones is creating an empire that dwarfs what Wintel did. Wintel had a mere ~1billion installed base. According to IDC, */Linux on ARM will ship that much each year. The difference of course is due to FLOSS having ~$0 per copy prices and ARM charging a nominal fee per copy, not half the crop. Wintel was just too greedy and is unsustainable. The world does not need to pay well above market-price for IT. Too bad the OEMs and retailers did not get the picture 15 years ago. They were too happy with their meagre leftovers.