Remember The Pencil?

You still see pencils around schools and such but most of us have quit writing by hand and use some personal computer for that kind of thing. Remember the personal computer as a big whirring box blowing hot air at you and collecting dust-bunnies? It’s just about gone too.
“Worldwide smartphone shipments are forecast to grow 40.0% year over year to more than 1.0 billion units this year. High smartphone growth is the result of a variety of factors, including steep device subsidies from carriers, especially in mature economic markets, as well as a growing array of sub-$200 smartphones. Total smartphone shipments are forecast to reach 1.7 billion units in 2017.”

see Worldwide Mobile Phone Market Forecast to Grow 7.3% in 2013 Driven by 1 Billion Smartphone Shipments, According to IDC.

At this rate, most of us will be attached to a smartphone in a year or two. Everyone I know has one implanted somewhere on their person. Mine sits on a shelf waiting for its next use. Almost every time I use it the battery needs charging…

What this all means is that the vast majority of personal computers being produced these days are smartphones and they keep getting smarter and more important in our lives. I am retired and rarely leave my wired network but if I needed more mobility, my smartphone would be warm too. There still is a role for larger PCs but only for content-creation, not for consumption. Many smartphones can run a keyboard and monitor if their owners sit down a while. Most smartphones being produced use ARMed processors and Android/Linux so this is how the Wintel monopoly has ended, not with a bang but with a flood, just like in Noah’s time. I expect, assuming an 80/20 rule for production, no more than 20% of PCs will bear M$’s burden/tax/tentacles. That’s too bad. The world is becoming a better place for IT but it won’t be perfect for a few years.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
This entry was posted in technology and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to Remember The Pencil?

  1. dougman says:

    I know of one fellow, that composes four blog entries a day by dictation. I use to do four myself on my blog, and spend 30-minutes on each.

    If I went to straight dictation now for my blog, I could shave my time down to ~8 minutes each. Freeing up 90-minutes for exercise and writing other material.

  2. dougman wrote, “achieving 95% accuracy. “

    That’s pretty decent but having to edit every second line or so must really slow you down. If it were 99%, I would throw away this old keyboard… The last time I tried that for editing the blog, URIs just didn’t work. I can type them as fast as I could speak them and get them right first time.

  3. dougman says:

    I use my Samsung S4 and Chromebook exclusively now. Who needs keyboards when you can dictate to your device and it achieving 95% accuracy.

    The era of STUPID IT and bloated prices are over.

Leave a Reply