Wintel Outlook Shrinks

“While the results of the second quarter were in line with forecast, a number of issues led IDC to further downgrade its PC outlook. Aside from stubbornly depressed consumer interest, 2013 also marks the first year where emerging regions are expected to contract at a steeper rate than mature regions. Leading this trend is China’s revised forecast, which calls for a double-digit decline in shipments this year compared to 2012, as channel sources report high levels of stagnant inventory and continued enthusiasm for tablets and smartphones. The repercussions of a slowing China, anxiety over the possible tapering of the U.S. quantitative easing program, and weak intrinsic PC demand are among a litany of factors that have rippled across portions of other formerly strong-growth areas, leading emerging markets as a whole to see declines through at least 2014.”

see PC Outlook Further Lowered as Mature Markets Projected to Outgrow Emerging Markets in 2013, According to IDC.

Yep, tablets are not a passing fad.

Tablets and smartphones have essentially broken up the personal computing landscape into three valleys and consumers are free to wander whichever way they want. Hundreds of millions have now experienced another OS than Windowstm and another CPU than Intel. Consumers like what they see, buy a lot and don’t need to spend anything on Wintel. In this vibrant competition, GNU/Linux as well as Android/Linux should be able to thrive. There’s no going back to the bad old days when every PC from major OEMs bore Windows. The world no longer owes M$ a living and Intel is courting FLOSS and */Linux everywhere. It’s taking the retailers a couple of years to get the drift but it’s happening. I like it.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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5 Responses to Wintel Outlook Shrinks

  1. oiaohm says:

    bw
    “Probably not shared at all since the ARM processors have vastly different binary code from the PCs using Intel or clone processors. So maybe it is share a few lines of source.”
    There is quite a few million lines of source code shared between x86 and arm even just inside the Linux kernel.

    Reason arch dependant code and platform neutral code are split inside the Linux kernel. Majority of the Linux kernel is in fact pure C with no ASM.

    Even for something as limited as Android vs debian. There is still a huge volume of shared code.

    Freetype is identical at source level for x86 or arm. Most of the differences is C to asm processing. So that alone is 298,697 lines of identical code. Yes there are a lot of libraries in android that share identical code with there debian relations.

    Most of the Linux subsystem code is cpu neutral.

    bw so its quite a few million lines of shared source code. There is also shared firmware files. Debian arm branch in fact runs on almost all the same soc chips as Android phones use.

    Yes there is a big split at graphical. With Android moving in the direction of KMS and away from FB this will see this reduce increasing the shared code at kernel level.

  2. bw says:

    Android/Linux

    Oh, come on now. There may be a couple of tablets for sale in the PC area, but phones are always sold from a little kiosk with a little man there to try to sell you a service plan for your free or drastically cut price phone. In any case that is not really Linux as you know it, for example where you recommend Debian. Not the same thing at all regardless of whether a few bytes of code are shared.

    Probably not shared at all since the ARM processors have vastly different binary code from the PCs using Intel or clone processors. So maybe it is share a few lines of source.

  3. bw wrote, “What has changed your mind?”

    Every time I visit Wal-mart, more shelf-space goes to Android/Linux and less to M$. It’s quite a dramatic move. A couple of years ago there was just a tiny space for Android/Linux. Now it’s on multiple aisles… No GNU/Linux yet, however, here, except Chrome OS.

  4. bw says:

    It’s taking the retailers a couple of years to get the drift but it’s happening.

    That is a rapid change of attitude! Just a short while before, you were railing against the world-wide lack of shelf space dedicated to Linux and were calling for a government investigation and prosecution to correct the situation.

    What has changed your mind?

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