While Mark Shuttleworth Is Pessimistic About Ubuntu GNU/Linux Desktops, They Rock

Canonical is a great company. They have done more than many companies to spread Free Software around the planet. Despite their good effects for Free Software they are still a business and reflect on their bottom line. That’s a bit obscure but Mark Shuttleworth released a few interesting details in an interview:

  1. They could be profitable in short order if they abandoned the desktop because servers and clouds are so lucrative…
  2. At the moment revenue streams from both clients and servers are comparable but servers are growing rapidly…
  3. Then the bombshells:
    • One of Dell, HP, and Lenovo are shipping 20% of volume with Ubuntu GNU/Linux!
    • Next year, another of them will do that, and
    • the third should do that sooner or later.

    “I think folks in the States don’t have a lot of visibility into the amount of diversity in the PC world outside of the US," Shuttleworth said. "But if you look across the major vendors, Dell, HP, Lenovo, one of them will ship more than 20 percent of their volume globally with Ubuntu this year. Another one has committed to do the same next year, and the third, we think, will head in the same direction sooner rather than later.”

    see Why Ubuntu’s creator still invests his fortune in an unprofitable company.

    So, in the long term, pouring money into Canonical could be a great investment. Mark Shuttleworth will continue to do it or not but he has lit a fire. That many millions of PCs makes a difference. HP, Dell and Lenovo move about 30 million PCs each quarter, about 45%. 20% of that is 9% of PCs shipped, about 6 million PCs per quarter, 24 million per annum. Hey! They are not the only OEMs shipping GNU/Linux! Still think GNU/Linux is languishing at ~1% share of page-views? We’ve lately seen big pops in the web stats, possibly because of these shipments.

    My vote would be for Dell or Lenovo as Ubuntu’s front-runners. HP is too pricey for most. HP will follow if they see Dell and Lenovo increasing share of PCs shipped.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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4 Responses to While Mark Shuttleworth Is Pessimistic About Ubuntu GNU/Linux Desktops, They Rock

  1. dougman says:

    Linux is already in your backyard, YOU just chose to ignore it.

  2. oiaohm says:

    bw –Always there is some story about the wonders of Linux in some world far, far away. Let me know when it gets to my back yard.–

    Sorry with 20 percent of one vendor sales in Ubuntu you a percentage is going into the USA market just not the retail channel. So please be more correct bw you want to see it in the USA retail channel.

    Linux in your backyard and you are too big of a idiot to notice bw. Dell and other companies don’t have Ubuntu Linux supply sites for the USA market for no reason. Not every country globally does dell run Linux supply sites. The site only keeps on running if Dell is making enough profit to justify it.

    Yes its in your back yard. I have done in another post size of Internet vs percentage of new computer sold. 10/20 percent of new machines being solid Linux will still take years to move the percentages.

    Retail is a down right slow to change beast.

    –They are not the only OEMs shipping GNU/Linux! Still think GNU/Linux is languishing at ~1% share of page-views? We’ve lately seen big pops in the web stats, possibly because of these shipments.–
    In fact Robert I believe this still could be the case.

    http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm
    24 million/2,405,518,376 = 1 percent So at that sales rate is still going to be years to get a decent percentage. Even if it was 100 percent of all new sales it would be years. Yes if Linux had 100 percent of all new machines sold Max possible growth in a year would only be 5 percent market share.

    Add a bit of bias in collection and yes low percentage on web states is more than possible. Web stats will show us Linux existence after its been successful for many years. If you want to know the future you don’t use web stats due to there heavy inertia of prior sold machines.

    Yes a lot of the Linux machines coveted by piracy arguement is based on web numbers that are inertia bias.

    The disruption we are seeing now will be a little todo with new sales. Lot is expanding Internet access.

    Come on do at least something with some intelligence bw that can give me an excuse to give you some intelligence.

  3. bw says:

    diversity in the PC world outside of the US

    Always there is some story about the wonders of Linux in some world far, far away. Let me know when it gets to my back yard.

  4. oe says:

    No surprise here this product here is the Windows Home Server http://lifehacker.com/5525346/windows-home-server-vail-available-for-64+bit-testing

    The specs are kindof a joke requiring a box that eats 80-90 Watts at rest when Ubuntu or Debian on a 64 bit machine…they comments below are pretty snarky too so I am not the only one. An ASUS eee with a now-dead battery, running Debian on a 4GB card torrents, serves (sftp, ssh, web, appletalk (yes, we gained a Mac), samba, etc.), runs backup crawling scripts of all the desktops, tor relays, DNLA UnPnP streams photo/music/vidoes, VNC, and then some….A Big yawn on this M$ offering unless I need a roomheater that can serve up files but is still gimpware.

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