ARM On The Cutting Edge Of Technology

“CAMBRIDGE, United Kingdom, and SAN JOSE, Calif., April 4, 2013   Fulfilling the promise of performance and power scaling at 16 nanometer, ARM (LSE: ARM; Nasdaq: ARMH) and Cadence (NASDAQ: CDNS) today announced details behind their collaboration  to implement the first ARM® Cortex®-A57 processor on TSMC’s 16-nanometer (nm) FinFET manufacturing process. The test chip was implemented using the complete Cadence RTL-to-signoff flow, Cadence Virtuoso custom design platform, ARM Artisan® standard cell libraries and TSMC’s memory macros. “                 
see ARM and Cadence Partner to Implement Industry’s First Cortex-A57 64-bit Processor on TSMC 16nm FinFET Process

Thus, the final stage of the fall of Wintel is on the horizon. It is possible that shortly OEMs of all kinds will be able to deploy similar ARM technology on everything in IT from controllers, to smartphones to servers with the same Linux kernel. This means immense transfers of technology will be developed globally and implemented rapidly by organizations large and small for every purpose. No longer will one or two companies dictate to the world what can and cannot be done in IT. Certainly it is the death of Wintel as a monopoly. Wintel at best will be just one option among many:

Technologies */Linux M$’s
ARM controllers, smart thingies, desktops/notebooks, servers, super-computers few notebooks/smart thingies
x86/amd64 super-computers, servers, desktops/notebooks legacy desktops/notebooks, servers

While Intel will surely have a role in the future of all IT, profits are sure to be reduced as Moore’s Law cannot eclipse the advantages of ARM and the cost of development, production and operation of x86 will always be higher than ARM. M$ will have revenue capped and probably cut by more than half. Within a few years every human on the planet will know they have a choice and M$ and Intel will have to compete on price/performance. Gone will be the days when either of them was the default choice. IT has outgrown being locked in a dark closet of exclusive deals.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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7 Responses to ARM On The Cutting Edge Of Technology

  1. George Wilson wrote, “What exactly would you define as “failing”?”

    M$:“The lnternet is changing our industry as radically as the move from MS-DOS to Windows did, but faster. Software
    companies who cannot adapt fast enough will fail.”
    see Exhibit 465 in US DOJ v M$

    M$ is not adapting fast enough with small cheap computers: high prices and poor features and restrictions don’t work in the age of smartphones and tablets.

    How about “this is one of the few cases where the failure of a user-mode service can shut down the system.”

    That was given in an answer by a M$ MVP… That’s why M$ failed to retain me as a loyal slave, too many BSODs.

    How about Android/Linux and ARM shipping more units than Wintel in 2012? Isn’t that a failure of M$’s dream of one licence per unit?

  2. George Wilson says:

    If Windows 8 continues on as it has been, then yes, we are seeing Microsoft fail. And Windows Phone? Total failure.

    Okay then. What exactly would you define as “failing”? Define it in any terms you like (which have some objectivity to it; something like “market share reduced to 50%”).

  3. kozmcrae says:

    bw wrote:

    “Didn’t you already say that 3-4 years ago?”

    If Windows 8 continues on as it has been, then yes, we are seeing Microsoft fail. And Windows Phone? Total failure.

  4. oiaohm says:

    bw the hardest thing to predict is speed of fail.

    Arm has moved forwards. Intel has not really expanded from 2-4 years ago.

    Trouble really starts with arm 64 bit chips. This is the first arm standardisation to allow 1 kernel and boot-loader many Arm platforms.

    Scary part about Arm 64 bit is that is requires less silicon at the same nm production leave than 32 bit relation.

  5. ram says:

    Without the “tel” in “Wintel” the “Win” part is doomed to lose 😉

  6. bw says:

    “Thus, the final stage of the fall of Wintel is on the horizon”

    Didn’t you already say that 3-4 years ago?

  7. ram says:

    I think Intel will be able to compete, especially their new platforms designed for Linux. AMD might have a problem unless their chips start appearing on Linux friendly motherboards real soon!

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