Pie-in-the-sky or Real Growth in PC Shipments?

Digitimes:
“PC supply chain shipments in the second half are expected to enjoy growth of at least 20% compared to the first half and may even reach 50% due to Intel’s new Haswell-based processors and drops in Microsoft’s licensing fees, according to sources from the upstream supply chain.”

Wait a bit… New hardware is something that might drive unit shipments and M$’s cutting of licensing fees might help if people actually wanted to buy M$’s OS, but M$ is cutting the prices because people don’t want to buy M$’s OS, so this is wishful thinking. Manufacturers should be shipping GNU/Linux if they want sales to pop. People are desperate to escape the clutches of M$ and the consumers who are a big piece of the pie cannot unless they find GNU/Linux on retail shelves.

I recommend OEMs, retailers and consumers try Debian GNU/Linux an OS that is a cooperative product of the world available for little more than the cost of downloading. It’s run on millions of PCs and servers and is very reliable.

Here are some places you can buy PCs retail:

I end with a link to IT World which points out that “RT” is being discounted to get rid of it… Expect years of price-cuts before the world is free of M$’s meddling.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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5 Responses to Pie-in-the-sky or Real Growth in PC Shipments?

  1. oiaohm says:

    MK this is knowing your kernels. https://www.kernel.org/

    I guess you don’t know what Longterm kernel means in the Linux world.

    Since 3.2 is a longterm kernel it gets driver backports. My debian is 3.2.39 kernel currently released Feb 25, 2013. Yes this is the Debian 7 release kernel at this stage.

    So yes 3.2.xx newer version that Debian will push out will run on Haswell quite well.

    MK 3.2 is a stable userspace/kernel space abi. Not a set in stone we get no more drivers point.

    MK Debian has a habit of not being as wild card as Ubuntu.

    Yes debian moves slowly in some respects. The 3.2 lock is just not the latest userspace features in kernel interface ABI. Just like a person does not have to have the latest Windows version to use the latest hardware. A linux user does not have to have the latest major numbers to use the latest hardware.

    Yes debian is 2 minor numbers behind. MK I guess you were not thinking debian was running a 2013 release kernel.

  2. MK says:

    Do you expect Debian 7 to work on Haswel, with the stable 3.2 kernel from 2011? You know it won’t, same as on a phone or tablet, so why keep recommending.
    …and while on phones, how does converting your wife’s phone to Debian goes?
    Isn’t it fairly obvious, that despite zero cost, regular users don’t want Debian. Android or ChromeOS – sure, Ubuntu – maybe, FirefoxOS – who knows, but who, in his or her right mind, would wan’t to use Debian?

  3. bw says:

    “Manufacturers should be shipping GNU/Linux if they want sales to pop”

    Have you sent this bit of wisdom off to Digitimes? Apparently their sales forecast mavens just lay around the Taipei office, sipping green tea and taking an occasional hit on an opium pipe, oblivious to the real world around them. Their readers would surely benefit from more accurate analyses.

  4. ram wrote, “As far as I can tell it is impossible for anyone to say that chips, motherboards, and barebones systems are going into desktops, file servers, or supercomputing clusters.”

    These guys do business-to-business deals and they discuss what’s available, quantities, delivery schedules and so on. It’s quite reasonable they would have some idea what’s going where. There are some chips that could be in either a server or a powerful workstation but generally the buyer doesn’t want to pay for more chip than is necessary. These guys aren’t gamers. The chip makers often produce a wide variety of chips for a wide range of uses and they will spec/price them accordingly.

    One example from my work in schools: when I faxed off a request for a quotation per my employer’s custom, three firms drew me into a dialogue trying to increase their share of the pie and my employer got a better deal while one supplier got a bigger order. All kinds of specs were discussed. He even helped me find a motherboard with 5 PCI slots for multi-seat systems. The one I had chosen from their database was not available in the quantity we needed. They certainly learned what I wanted and why. One supplier got the bulk of the order and two others got specialized stuff that supplier did not have. Except for a batch of bad memory modules and delayed payment the deal was a great experience. One supplier was aghast when his shipment was dropped at a gas-station miles from our site… The whole supply-chain got a wake-up call on that one. Still, the project was finished on time and under budget. It was probably one of the high points of my career.

  5. ram says:

    Where do these guys get these statistics?

    As far as I can tell it is impossible for anyone to say that chips, motherboards, and barebones systems are going into desktops, file servers, or supercomputing clusters.

    I do know that any fair sized Linux cluster uses dozens to hundreds of major system parts. The major media houses do, however, tend to use multiprocessor server parts in their Linux clusters. In any event, they all build their own or have specialized subcontractors doing it for them. Nobody is reporting back to some retail “customer statistics” agency.

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