Despite the explosive growth of small cheap computers not running Wintel, IDC predicts the hardware under Wintel will struggle on for years to come.
“Going forward, IDC expects that tablet shipments will surpass desktop PCs in 2013 and portable PCs in 2014. In 2013, worldwide desktop PC shipments are expected to drop by 4.3% and portable PCs to maintain a flat growth of 0.9%. The tablet market, on the other hand, is expected to reach a new high of 190 million shipment units with year-on-year growth of 48.7% while the smartphone market is expected to grow 27.2% to 918.5 million units.”
see Worldwide Smart Connected Device Market Crossed 1 Billion Shipments in 2012, Apple Pulls Near Samsung in Fourth Quarter
I don’t think so. People are buying smartphones and tablets because they are on retail shelves and they do what needs to be done. Very soon people will stop guying those legacy PCs because they are not on retail shelves and they don’t do what needs to be done. That will really send them to the grave. I am not claiming legacy PCs will die out completely. It’s just that very few of us need a super-computer on the desktop when a small cheap computer will do. Typing is the most popular use of a desktop/notebook PC that ordinary people have and they can do that with a smartphone or tablet merely by buying a keyboard with USB or Bluetooth connectivity.
Wintel is about to have a severe adjustment in attitude. No one wants or needs monopoly on retail shelves or on the desktop. The world is routing around that.