GNU/Linux share according to Statcounter has been hovering around a few percent for a long time but in 2012 it took off with 40% increase in share in one year. It’s probably too soon to be some effect of the death of Chavez so it’s likely a result of something his government set in motion.
In the last few years, Venezuela has
- adopted Canaima, a Debian GNU/Linux distro as the official version to be rolled out in schools by thousands, and
- set up a complete support network to be effective in 2013, squashing all the FUD about GNU/Linux with deeds not words.
It looks to me as if the Chavez regime has kindled a fire in Venezuela which will not soon be quenched. Fueled by oil and political will anything is possible. I expect such endeavours will spread to Cuba, Iran and other friendly nations and may well accelerate the moves to GNU/Linux elsewhere in South America. 2013 is a great year.