While total uptake of cloud services is still a small percentage of the pie, it seems to be taking off with sustained growth forecast for years to come. Some predictions from Roundup of Cloud Computing Forecasts and Market Estimates, 2012:
- By 2014, more than 50% of workloads will be processed in the cloud,
- cloud computing market growth of 36%,
- 1.25% of “on-site” enterprise computing will be replaced by cloud computing in 2012, and
- by 2020, cloud computing could be a $240billion market with more than $10billion from the US government alone.
Let’s see. M$ is losing share on the desktop, going nowhere in mobile, so the cloud is its last hope for future relevance. IT is growing everywhere except in M$’s market. M$’s share of the pie is getting smaller no matter how it is counted. The only question is how small will it become? I think there will be a lot of client and server licences for them to sell for a long time but from now on they cannot dictate to this market. After this year the monopoly will certainly be dead.