A survey of 2000 people 18 and over in several developed countries/markets found that 68-86% used desktop/notebook PCs but 76-96% used smartphones. USA was on the low end while UK, France, Germany and Japan were successively higher in both categories.
Besides the bare facts, I conclude
- 8-10% use smartphones but not desktop/notebook PCs
- USA, which is on the low end of desktop/notebook usage is on the high end of tablet usage (11%) so tablets are definitely cutting into desktop/notebook usage
This is entirely consistent with M$’s drop in client division revenue. M$ is barely present in smartphone/tablet markets. 10% can have a huge effect on consumer demand. Decimation gets noticed. I expect this will grow and M$ will continue to drop in market share for the next few quarters and “8” will have little traction. People prefer chocolate bars in their hands rather than vapourware. The acceptability of */Linux on ARM and consumers’ influence on business IT could well open the door to more widespread use of */Linux on desktop/notebook PCs.