Prediction: M$’s Share of Web Servers Will Reach Zero

Just look at the data in Netcraft’s Web Server Survey of the top million active sites:

Year/December Share (%) fit
2008 19.60 19.424
2009 17.64 17.927
2010 16.47 16.430
2011 15.00 14.933
2021 0

A least-squares fit to the data (y = 3025.4 -1.497 x) gives 2021 as the year share will be zero. Only a decade until M$ becomes irrelevant. All in for the cloud? I don’t think so. If M$ doesn’t pay thoughtful people to use M$’s stuff it doesn’t happen.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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2 Responses to Prediction: M$’s Share of Web Servers Will Reach Zero

  1. oiaohm says:

    Most likely slowly sliding into nothingness. Phenom.

    Recent shock was that python is now number two in web development.

    The sliding into nothingness is most likely not helped by things like this. http://www.developerfusion.com/tools/convert/vb-to-python/

    Same thing has been slowly happening to asp sites yes the prior to asp.net most of those have been turning up converted to php.

  2. Phenom says:

    Gee, I wonder where would all these ASP.NET web-sites go.

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