Gartner has listed 10 strategic technologies they recommend businesses check out to adapt to change over the next few years. The interesting thing to me is that none of them are M$-centric. “8” isn’t in there, for instance.
- Media tablets and beyond
- mobile-centric applications and interfaces
- Contextual and Social User Experience
- Internet of Things
- App Stores
- Next-generation Analytics
- Big Data
- In-memory computing/flash
- Extremely low-energy servers
- Cloud computing
In infrastructure, it’s all about doing more on the servers and on the servers, it’s all about efficiency and M$ need not apply. The world can make its own software and hardware and does not need M$ slowing them down to tax them. All of the things in this list are happening now and without any influence from M$. By the time “8” arrives, the world will have set its own course. A larger part of IT will be based on ARM hardware and FLOSS for infrastructure with Android/Linux frequently used on mobile devices and GNU/Linux on stationary devices.
M$ has promised “8” on ARMed devices but will anyone care? They won’t have anything on ARMed servers and Phoney “7” flopped. The world already has plenty of choices and only a fraction will choose one more. On x86/amd64 devices, that other OS will have a shrinking role because all this mobile stuff is web-centric and can be accessed from any platform. The world will choose the least expensive or best performing, all else being equal.
see Gartner – Top 10 Strategic Technologies for 2012