And so it comes to pass that Pogson’s predictions for 2011 are coming to fruition in the fullness of time. Acer is announcing a new notebook running Android this month. Predictions are that 7.6 million ARMed notebooks will ship next year ramping up to about 22% of notebooks by 2015. It makes sense. People love small cheap portable computers and using ARM + Android Honeycomb makes them smaller, cheaper and more portable.
“Wang stressed that Acer will adopt a new strategy to create more value instead of pursuing volume growth.
Acer plans to launch the world’s first notebook powered by a dual-core Tegra 2 CPU in July and will also release new models running on Android 3.2, said Wang”
see Acer to deliver ARM notebook within nine days
When both x86 and ARM reach the point of vanishing returns in that power consumption is not an issue, ARM will have a large share of personal computing markets.
see Pogson – Magic Pixie Dust or Why x86 Cannot Beat ARM
see Pogson – Top-end ARM
Those last two are from February 2011 when I saw the writing on the wall and wrote about it here. Change is coming pretty fast when an old man sitting at home can anticipate a wave of change that takes a few months to take a bite out of Wintel. It’s not even “next year” country.
Still, knowledgeable people are in denial. oldman commented about “Top-end ARM”, no desktop market exists. Some of those Wintel notebooks being displaced ran a desktop GUI, I believe. 🙂