M$ has been reported to have shipped a build of “8” to OEMs. The Register speculates that a beta release will happen in September and “8” will be out in 2012. That gives Android and ARM a year to frolick in the sunshine of growth. M$ will not be able to freeze this hot market for smart thingies that long. “7” was at this stage in October 2008 and was released in October 2009 (August RTM).
In the coming year hundreds of millions of smart thingies and a few x86 thingies and servers will ship with Linux. This wave is tens of times larger than the wave of GNU/Linux on netbooks. There will be no putting the geni back in the bottle.