Android 3 is having a coming-out party tomorrow. Having achieved 22% share of tablet PCs with Android 2, a smart phone release, Android’s share should go critical with the availability of Android 3. Several manufacturers have delayed releasing new product until Android 3 was final and one has released new product with 2 with an upgrade to 3 promised.
That other OS cannot match this performance, releasing three releases developed in a year…
Whether you call 2011 The Year of ARM or The Year of Android, this will be a remarkable change in how IT is done globally. There is something in the market for everyone and everyone has a choice, doing things the old way or doing things a better way. I like small cheap computers using GNU/Linux. Others like small expensive computers using GNU/Linux or large expensive computers using that other OS. It is good to have choice. By the end of 2011, I expect the crater made by Android and ARM to have widely penetrated all form-factors of IT. ARM is already shipping more units per quarter than Wintel is shipping. The only question remains is to sort them out. CE will hold a few places but few enjoy really old software.
UPDATE ARM is looking at taking a real share of servers and desktops in the next few years. see TheRegister.
Servers are expected to grow in units shipped and desktops are expected to stabilize at ~150 million units per annum. With the move to thin clients and cloud computing there will be a need for ARM’s price, efficiency, and small size in those spaces. ARM has hundreds of licensees and a bunch of them are aiming to crank out servers and desktops.