Channel insider is predicting the downfall of XP in the enterprise in 2011. They must not realize that “7” is only replacing a small part of the XP universe. The increase in “7” share is less than the total decrease in Vista and “7”. Many will cling to XP in business until the dust-bunnies clog the coolers. At the present rate of decline, XP will be around many years. Do you know any business that wants to replace all of its PCs and most of its printers in 2011? … I thought not.
They also claim Android smart-phones will be a flop in business. It’s the apps folks. If people have a Java app they need or can work over the network, Android is as good or better than other platforms. If they like longer battery-life, Android on ARM will be a winner in business as well as with consumers. Considering that many ISPs are distributing Android at huge discounts, many businesses will see its utility for road-warriors. “7” certainly doesn’t fit.
They also dump on Google-Docs. Considering that large deployments are happening in government and business and they work and are secure, there is no basis to predict a flop. In fact, M$, the other competitor in the field has only succeeded where they have locked out Google somehow. Google will fight and do well. Office Web Apps are predicted to flop. I don’t see how they are not inevitable. People are sick of having to deal with documents, storage, and backup. They will be glad to hire someone to take care of things. The only doubt I have is how the share will develop. M$ has a history of cheating in the market. I expect them to try everything they can to exclude Google and others. It won’t work but M$ won’t fail. They just won’t get a monopoly. Great.
They are predicting the failure of Chrome OS in the business market at the same time businesses are moving to thin-client desktops. Twits. The moves are quite complementary. Networks are strong enough to run businesses over them. Chrome OS will be great for private and public clouds and even local web applications. Ellisons’s prediction will finally come true. Network computing is happening and 2011 will be the explosion.
The Channel Insider seems not to think outside the box they are in. Things change in IT and 2011 will have lots of changes some good and some bad. About half of their predictions will fall flat in 2011, IMHO.