Robert Pogson

One man, closing all the windows.

Posts Tagged / tablets

  • Mar 27 / 2013
  • 4
technology

Wintel, Not Quite Dead

Despite the explosive growth of small cheap computers not running Wintel, IDC predicts the hardware under Wintel will struggle on for years to come.
“Going forward, IDC expects that tablet shipments will surpass desktop PCs in 2013 and portable PCs in 2014. In 2013, worldwide desktop PC shipments are expected to drop by 4.3% and portable PCs to maintain a flat growth of 0.9%. The tablet market, on the other hand, is expected to reach a new high of 190 million shipment units with year-on-year growth of 48.7% while the smartphone market is expected to grow 27.2% to 918.5 million units.”
see Worldwide Smart Connected Device Market Crossed 1 Billion Shipments in 2012, Apple Pulls Near Samsung in Fourth Quarter

I don’t think so. People are buying smartphones and tablets because they are on retail shelves and they do what needs to be done. Very soon people will stop guying those legacy PCs because they are not on retail shelves and they don’t do what needs to be done. That will really send them to the grave. I am not claiming legacy PCs will die out completely. It’s just that very few of us need a super-computer on the desktop when a small cheap computer will do. Typing is the most popular use of a desktop/notebook PC that ordinary people have and they can do that with a smartphone or tablet merely by buying a keyboard with USB or Bluetooth connectivity.

Wintel is about to have a severe adjustment in attitude. No one wants or needs monopoly on retail shelves or on the desktop. The world is routing around that.

  • Feb 09 / 2013
  • 22
technology

Content-Creation – The Third Option

The last argument of those who cling to the ideal of the Wintel desktop is that gaming office documents content-creation requires Wintel. They deny the current assault by */Linux on ARM or x86/amd64 as incapable of replacing Wintel in any manner. That’s clearly wrong on many fronts.
“Patrick Moorhead, principal analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy, pegged 2014 as the year when such devices become reality. "In 2014 there will be broad adoption of new processor technologies from Intel and AMD, for that matter from ARM," said Moorhead of his prediction that chip makers will have silicon by then that not only sips power at tablet-appropriate rates but has the horsepower necessary for content creation. "This is going to happen. And that means there won’t be a robust, premium 10-in. tablet-only market."1
The modern ARM processors2 have greater throughput than the processors Intel was shipping just a few years ago and they were good enough then. Certainly Intel’s latest stuff can do the job but at much greater cost, weight and power-consumption.

Do we need an x86 desktop/notebook to do content-creation? No, if the real world is any judge. Facebook, YouTube and other sites are crammed with stuff generated by millions of smart phones. All kinds of real people are generating still images, audio and video using nothing more than a smart phone3. I know. My “little woman” is one who does. She has a good camera but leaves it at home these days. Would a smart phone be the first choice of a professional? No. Is every user of a PC a professional? Not by a long shot. Only a small percentage of PC-users are professionals. Professionals may use smart phones as necessary.4

Technically, one does not need to choose any particular client machine for content-generation if there is a network-connection to some powerful machine. It is trivial to control the behaviour of some server from an ARMed computer. That’s what thin clients do all the time. That’s what web-browsers do. There are kinds of content-creation that won’t work well that way but even Hollywood makes motion pictures using similar technology, selecting clips with a client machine and sending stuff to a server-farm for rendering. You can see people editing videos with their smart phones.5 Typing and cameras and microphones work with smart phones and tablets very well thanks to the Linux core which knows about such devices. We have had networked operating systems for decades. It’s the third option for content-generation and many millions don’t even care about the technology. It just works.

So, you can use any kind of personal computer for any kind of task if you do it the right way. Wintel certainly is no longer necessary if it ever was. */Linux works for millions. Why not you? There never really was a good reason to exclude other technologies. That was M$’s idea to make them rich6, not you. No doubt the trolls will shout that “Wintel works so why not use it?” but then we would have to look at re-re-reboots, malware, price,… There are plenty of reasons to exclude Wintel from IT.

References

  • Jan 17 / 2013
  • 10
technology

Revenge For The Netbook

Glyn Moody as usual gives the big picture over space and time. M$ fought off the charge of small cheap netbook PCs running GNU/Linux by choking OEMs. Today those same OEMs and a bunch more new OEMs of PCs are shipping */Linux like there’s no tomorrow.

“There are two ironies here. First, that at the heart of Android lies an updated version of exactly the same code that the early netbooks ran; and secondly, the fact that Microsoft’s successful attempts to kill off netbooks running free software probably contributed to Android’s current success in the tablet market.”

see The arrival of tablets – The H Open: News and Features.

Revenge is sweet. We get to enjoy it longer thanks to M$’s bulk and the size and number of its “partners” who are getting a huge “attitude adjustment” in 2013 after Wintel began to crumble in 2012. Intel’s latest report says it all. Unit volumes of desktop PCs are down sharply and notebooks are following.

PC unit volumes were down 4% Q4/Q3 and down 6% from Q4 2011 to Q4 2012. Intel raised prices a bit to compensate but that won’t work for long with ARMed prices being much less. There’s no OEM who will stick with M$ with price increases under these conditions. The obvious advantages of using $free and FREE software are too big to ignore any longer. Expect the OEMs and consumers to work on the retailers too. Retailers often get most of their profit in Q4… They will either drop PCs or switch to smaller cheaper computers at lower prices with FLOSS. It’s about time.

  • Jan 07 / 2013
  • 0
technology

Tegra 4 Marches On

  • NVIDIA GeForce® GPU with 72 custom cores
  • Computational photography architecture
  • LTE capability
  • Quad-core ARM Cortex-A15s
  • 28 nm lithography at 1.9gHz

see Tegra 4 Super Chip Processors | NVIDIA.

Life cannot get much better than this for mobile computing or computing in general for most consumers until 14nm comes along in a year or so… From now on small cheap computers will not be associated with whimpy performance. More of what they do will be done in specialized hardware with a significant increase in speed.

Here’s a gadget announced today from Nvidia using Tegra 4:

  • Nov 19 / 2012
  • 7
technology

Few Want to Buy and Few Want to Build “8″ Tablets in UK

Windows 8 tablets are trickling into the UK channel but demand is still barely outstripping supply, distributors have reported.

OEMs have taken a conservative attitude to their inventory position this Christmas, ignoring bullish calls from retailers and web shops for more kit – it seems the experiences of 2011′s stock mountain are fresh in the memory.

see We CAN'T GET ENOUGH Windows 8 tablets, moan distributors • The Channel.

Compare that with the situation a decade or so ago when no OEM thought they could sell anything PCish without a licence and burdensome licensing agreement with M$. How the mighty have fallen. Not only is the channel tentative about new Wintel and WARM products but the channel is rebelling against M$’s intrusion into their hardware-space. The ship is sinking and everyone wants to be in a lifeboat.

  • Oct 15 / 2012
  • 0
technology

White-box Tablets From China On A Roll

“Some tablet exhibitors at the ongoing HKEF 2012 (Hong Kong Electronics Fair, Autumn Edition) estimate that China-based white-box makers as a whole are shipping four million tablets a month currently.

Allen Wu, president, ARM China, predicts that shipments of Android-based tablets by China makers are likely to reach 50 million units in 2012 and increase to 100 million units in 2013.”

see Demand for white-box tablets keeps growing despite keen competition.

By comparison, Apple shipped 17 million tablets last quarter, so this is a major piece of the pie and it is competition particularly in emerging markets which are quite price-sensitive.

Also by comparison, shipments of x86 PCs have been down for several quarters so ~100% per annum growth in tablets and Android/Linux tablets is a huge shift in how IT is done. Sooner or later even the naysayers will have to open their eyes and see that the good old days of Wintel are past. In this market, is anyone going to buy a Wintel tablet? A WARM tablet? Some. There’s no way retailers are going to give M$ a monopoly on retail shelves so M$ will be just another player in the tablet arena and a shrinking player in IT overall.

Here’s what $250 will buy you:

The LePan II comes with a 9.7 inch screen , Android/Linux 4.0 and 1.2gHz SnapDragon processor with 8gB built-in storage and 1gB RAM.

Here’s what $56 will buy you:

PanDigital Star 7inch e-Reader with 2gB storage and 256MB RAM

  • Mar 07 / 2012
  • 19
technology

Open e-mail to CBC: Apple Does Not Control 70% of the Tablet Market

Today, at 8:35 CT, CBC (Canadian Broadcasting Corporation) broadcast the “news” that Apple controlled 70% of the tablet market. On-line, they report 63%.

The facts are otherwise:

  • in their SEC filing for Q4 2011, Apple report 15.433 million iPads shipped, 111% above the previous year in the same quarter,
  • DisplaySearch reports 31.7 million tablets shipped in Q4 2011
  • Apple’s share of tablet shipments is 15.433/31.7X100 = 48.7%