Tag Archive for 'china'

China Smartphone Market Going Flat Out

“the pace of inventory build-ups have been unable to catch up with the growth in demand for smartphones in China and other emerging markets, said the sources, noting that overall shipments of smartphones by China-based makers for domestic and overseas sales have skyrocketed to 30 million units a month recently compared to 20 million units in the first quarter of 2013.”
see China market: Several smartphone components in short supply

Eat your heart out, Wintel… While you have negative growth in shipments, stuff with Android/Linux on ARM is maxed out, limited by supplies of components to growth over 100% per quarter.

- Robert Pogson

China Is Its Own PC Market

Not only does China make most of the PCs on Earth, it also consumes more than any other nation, 69 million in 2012, and in unique ways:

  • each pair of segments commerce/consumer and desktop/notebook are 50:50,
  • the preferred size of notebook is 14 inches (70%) while most of the world chooses 14 inch less than 30% of the time, and
  • more than 50% of PCs ship with no OS, even less for desktops, while most of the world consumes 90% of PCs with an OS bundled.

China Becomes World’s Leading PC Market in 2012

Some of these characteristics are no doubt because China is still a rapidly growing market for IT but some derive from frugality and energy of the society. No one in China assumes a free lunch. No one assumes it is OK to waste resources.

Whatever the causes, China is in a special situation as far as migrating to GNU/Linux. They use a high proportion of M$’s OS but can easily migrate to GNU/Linux because of the low rate of attachment. It’s just a matter of choosing GNU/Linux to install. That’s in the hands of the consumer or business, not M$ and its “partners”. They also know more than other nations the cost of M$’s OS.

- Robert Pogson

US Congress Shoots Self In Foot, Again

“The funding law signed this week by President Barack Obama is part of growing US paranoia over Chinese cyber attacks.
It stops NASA, and the Justice and Commerce Departments from buying information technology systems unless the FBI give the thumbs up. Currently FBI policy is that if the gear comes from a Chinese company there must be something wrong with it.”

see US Congress bans buying Chinese IT

Chuckle. We are entering a new Dark Age for IT in USA. While USA squats in the dirt contemplating its navel, the world moves on with more and better IT in a competitive market where price/performance matters. Remember previous incarnations: GPS crippling, prohibition on exporting encryption, etc.? Those all damaged the USA’s competitiveness while the world got on with creating new markets in spite of the USA. At the same time USA lost huge numbers of jobs in manufacturing and lost pre-eminence in one field after another and ran up huge debts.

Expect more of the same. While the government of the USA (all branches) take themselves seriously while chasing their tails, the world is taking the shortest path to a bright future free from monopoly in IT and everything else. No doubt there will be wailing and gnashing of teeth as USA subsides but it seems to be the way of all things that the legacy of the forefathers gets squandered by the kids.

- Robert Pogson

Linux Pre-installed on Laptops in Chinese Supermarket

Found on YouTube, proof that GNU/Linux is sold on retail shelves in China. Enjoy. Too bad it’s a bit fuzzy and shaky. The scene clearly shows a normal retail environment except it’s not locked in to Wintel. There is hope for humanity.

“This video was sent to me by my brother who is teaching in Xuzhou, Jiangsu province, China. He was very pleased, not to mention surprised, to see the majority of computers for sale in his local supermarket were running Linux..”
see Linux Pre-installed on Laptops in Chinese Supermarket.

- Robert Pogson

Ach! DIGITIMES Is Off The Air

“During the Lunar New Year holidays (Feb 9 – Feb 17), DIGITIMES will not post any news updates or send out its daily newsletter. Happy New Year!”
see DIGITIMES daily IT news.

I love Digitimes. They have breakfast when I am winding down my day for the evening and often have news about global and Asian IT. I will miss them as they get serious about Lunar New Year… It’s amazing. Many of the workers in the big cities have family in the remote rural regions and commute hundreds of miles. This just about shuts down manufacturing industries in China for a whole week. It actually dents the GDP.

- Robert Pogson

Emergence, Chinese-Style

China plans to grow several industrial ecosystems to support global reach including… “the electronic information industry. 2015 form 5-8 large backbone enterprises with sales of over 100 billion yuan, and strive to cultivate large enterprises with sales of over 500 billion yuan.”

see Guidance on corporate mergers and acquisitions to accelerate key industries release.

The strategy appears to be to skip growing individual businesses by merging already growing businesses to suddenly reach global scale. This could increase efficiency and maximize profits for China. Shaky global corporations like PC-OEMs and M$ could be in for a rough ride if China goes with GNU/Linux on PCs in a big way. Could Linpus Linux be one of the businesses involved in mergers? They already have Lenovo. Perhaps they will merge all the small players into a competitor to Lenovo or have Lenovo be the root of the tree. We shall see … soon.

see also The Register’s take on this news.

- Robert Pogson

OS Of The Week

We have long been familiar with NetApplications’ web stats. Sorting out all the bias is tough. Today I tried a new tack. For the users who know they have choice, how many use GNU/Linux?

See? Folks who know they have a choice of browser also know they have a choice of OS and more often choose GNU/Linux. How many consumers know they have a choice of browser? About half… If GNU/Linux were on retail shelves, it would sell.

- Robert Pogson

Ubuntu GNU/Linux PC Sales

Like it or not, Canonical has salesmen and they are getting the job done:

  • Dell now has 400 stores in China pushing Ubuntu GNU/Linux on PCs,
  • Ubuntu GNU/Linux has shipped on $7.5 billion worth of hardware in the last 2 years,
  • Dell, Lenovo, Asus and HP are all shipping Ubuntu GNU/Linux PCs,
  • In 2011, Ubuntu GNU/Linux shipped on more PCs than MacOS did in 2007 (7.05million in AAPL FY 2007), and
  • “Kenyon cited the German insurance company LVM Insurance, who have Ubuntu deployed on over 10,000 desktops; Consultancy firm CapGemini who are rolling Ubuntu out on 10,000 desktop in the next 2 years; Google, who have 10,000 Ubuntu-based desktops and laptops in use; and the Ministry of Defence in The Netherlands, who are using an Ubuntu-based client across a staggering 40,000 desktops.”

It pays to advertise and it pays to employ salesmen. Assuming Canonical continues on its upwards trend, they have long ago surpassed the mythical ~1% all by themselves and we should expect their market share to have reached critical mass by now. That is, they could well ship on 9% of PCs in 2014. Competition on price/performance is coming to many retail shelves these days. The world no longer assumes the most expensive PC is the best PC or, at least, the most relevant PC for many.

see Ubuntu PC Sales Skyrocket in 2011.

- Robert Pogson

USA Congress Demands USA Become a Tech Back-water

“A year-long investigation by a U.S. congressional committee has reportedly concluded that Chinese telecommunication equipment vendors Huawei Technologies and ZTE pose a security threat to the nation, and the committee is advising U.S. firms to buy networking gear from other vendors. But analysts say the committee’s investigation is motivated more by politics, while doing little to safeguard U.S. telecommunication networks.”

see Politics, not security, at center of Huawei, ZTE allegations, say analysts.

Chuckle. The idiots behind the report do not seem to realize that most IT is manufactured in China these days. Do they want to boycott all the OEMs as well? Why not? Take the USA back to the Stone Age. They would do everyone a favour by demanding a boycott of M$’s stuff. Where do they think all that malware feels at home?

see also Huawei: House Intelligence Committee report is ‘not fact-based’

- Robert Pogson

Doom for That Other OS

I just noticed this tasty tidbit from China:

“Windows and Unix command market shares of 41.8 percent and 53.9 percent, respectively.”

So, with a billion future users of PCs in China, that other OS is starting from 42% and GNU/Linux is starting from 2.5% with three times the growth rate… Doom for that other OS. We know GNU/Linux can take on most UNIX loads and it is less expensive. That leaves that other OS as just another OS, not a monopoly. HeHeHe. All the while, folks think GNU/Linux is a marginal/niche/tiny OS.

Year GNU/Linux TOS
2007 2.5 31
2008 3.3 34
2009 4.4 37
2010 5.9 40
2011 7.9 44
2012 10.3 48
2013 13.4 53
2014 17.4 58
2015 23.5 63
2016 31.5 69

That assumes a constant growth rate and UNIX disappears. I would bet that once GNU/Linux gets to 10% or so it will grow faster and overtake that other OS. TIme will tell. It is all good news.

Lest the trolls find something to celebrate in this, these figures are growth in sales… Think of the numbers of free copies of GNU/Linux that could propagate in China.

- Robert Pogson



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My Mission

My observations and opinions about IT are based on 40 years of use in science and technology and lately, in education. I like IT that is fast, cost-effective and reliable. I do not care whether my solution is the same as yours. I like to think for myself.

My first use of GNU/Linux in 2001 was so remarkably better than what I had been using, I feel it is important work to share GNU/Linux with the world. I have been blessed by working in schools where students and school systems have benefited by good, modular software easily installed in most systems.

I have shown GNU/Linux to thousands of students and hundreds of teachers over the years and will continue in some way doing that until I die in spite of the opposition.

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