Robert Pogson

One man, closing all the windows.

Posts Tagged / adoption

  • Apr 24 / 2014
  • 0

Down, Down, and Down Some More: M$’s Tax

Well, it’s not all good news, M$’s latest 10-Q, but I like it. While the world is shipping and buying client IT like hotcakes“Retail and non-OEM sales of Windows declined $319 million or 50%, due mainly to the launch of Windows 8 in the prior year. Windows OEM revenue declined $226 million or 2%, reflecting continued softness in the consumer PC market, offset in part by a 12% increase in OEM Pro revenue.

Commercial Windows revenue grew $90 million or 11%”
M$’s revenues are way down except for businesses replacing XP. They had an 11% pop over last year’s Q1. Chuckle. If $90million is an 11% pop, their total commercial OS licensing revenue was just $908million. Last year, in this quarter, they reported 23% growth in client licensing overall, despite the softness of the “PC”-market. Oh, my. How the mighty are fallen. With all the talk of recovery and innovation, they are barely holding the line.

Truly, the era of Wintel has come to an end, downhill with a tail-wind on a slippery slope. No end in sight, but it is spectacular. M$ and Intel can diversify and advertise all they want, but the Wintel monopoly is dead.

See MSFT 10-Q Q1 2014.

See also, Reading between Microsoft CEO Nadella’s lines: On courage, subscriptions and unique value

Mary Jo Foley: “If anyone is still wondering whether it’s still really a Windows-first world at Microsoft now, those thoughts should be banished. Nadella’s Microsoft seems more realistic, and is hoping to wedge its way in by getting users to try any Microsoft device, software or service, with the hope that more usage, if not love, may follow.”

  • Apr 24 / 2014
  • 1

Another Blow To Wintel: UK Retail Shelf-space

Recently, “Fed up with Windows? Had enough of Apple? Grab yourself a slice of history with this HP laptop. The first manufacturer installed Ubuntu machine available from a UK retailer.” consumers in UK have been offered GNU/Linux by eBuyer on a notebook by HP. eBuyer offers several machines with GNU/Linux. Under the “laptop” category, you can find, “OS Provided / Edition

  • Google Chrome (8)
  • No Operating System (1)
  • Ubuntu (1)”

It’s about time. This shows M$ may have delayed GNU/Linux on the desktop when it stifled netbooks but FLOSS is just too good an idea to die.

See HP 255 G1 Laptop.

  • Apr 24 / 2014
  • 1

Funding For FLOSS Infrastructure

Another example of “the squeaky wheel gets the grease”, the recent vulnerability caused by OpenSSL/Heartbleed, prompted“The Core Infrastructure Initiative is a multi-million dollar project housed at The Linux Foundation to fund open source projects that are in the critical path for core computing functions. Inspired by the Heartbleed OpenSSL crisis, The Initiative’s funds will be administered by the Linux Foundation and a steering group comprised of backers of the project as well as key open source developers and other industry stakeholders.” stakeholders in the Linux Foundation to put their money where their mouths are and provide for some full-time developers.

It’s about time. Corporations have been reaping the benefits of FLOSS for years without giving back enough to keep the fire burning brightly. Starvation inspires people but it certainly is not an aid to best practices. Every FLOSS project should have at least one full-time developer if it is to become a prevalent part of the IT of the world. The world can and does make its own software and its cost is not $0 but a lot of time, money and effort. That cost has to be paid one way or another. If FLOSS licences don’t cover it, users have to give back in code, money or manpower. Choose.

See Core Infrastructure Initiative.

  • Apr 24 / 2014
  • 4

Acer And Australia Are Loving FLOSS

Australia has been dragging its feet in adoption of FLOSS but that is changing.“Acer also revealed to ARN that it has also just picked up the contract for Victoria’s police force, providing 12,500 devices, including 1000 laptops. It already provides hardware and support to the South Australian and Tasmanian police forces. Further details will be made available shortly.
Already in 2014 it has won a major joint-tender contract from a consortium of Victoria, Queensland and New South Wales’ Electoral Commissions, that will see the company provide 5100 tablets for vote counting purposes at each state’s forthcoming elections. All of these Acer branded devices will run Android, and deployment begins shortly.
"Traditionally if you look at those spaces they use enterprise software, such as Windows 8, so using Android is quite unusual," Simmons said…
As part of Woolworth’s new move to the Cloud, Acer also won the contract to provide the supermarket giant with 5000 of its Chromebooks.”
The struggling OEM, Acer, is selling FLOSS like hotcakes in Australia. I told you small cheap computers sell. Acer knows that. Australia knows that. With modern hardware and no tax from M$, the price/performance of FLOSS on ARM or Intel is irresistable.

This is a good indicator that Wintel has lost huge mindshare, the kind of mindshare that allowed M$ to bundle its software with almost every PC in production as recently as 2005. Today, many realize that we are better off running software on servers and reaping the benefit of thousands of small cheap computers running FLOSS as PCs. Call them thin clients, dumb terminals or other terms of denigration, the benefits of the networked computer are too great to resist any longer. The network gives us independence from M$ because the network uses open standards not controlled by M$. Hundreds of millions of consumers have seen other operating systems at work in their own hands so there is a lot less resistance to change at work. In fact, consumers as employees are demanding IT in organizations finally work for us rather than against us as happened for a decade or longer under M$’s brutal regime.

See Acer turns a corner with another big contract win in 2014.

  • Apr 23 / 2014
  • 7

Making A Living Creating Or Using FLOSS

Yes. I think this has been going on for a decade or more: FLOSS grows and employment opportunities grow with it.(GNU/)”Linux is not going away. It just continues to grow. Thus, it bodes well for the individuals in this space. Throughout our time recruiting in the open source arena, the demand has always outstripped the supply for Linux professionals. Even in the two recessions we have been through. Therefore, I see no indication this is going to change in the near to mid term. All in all, it is a good time to be involved with open source software.” In my own career, employment was easiest to find after I had learned to harness the raw power of GNU/Linux to get the best performance from the hardware in schools and to add more hardware without increasing the effort required to maintain them. That same effect is encountered by individuals and organizations of all sizes when they try FLOSS.

FLOSS is the right way to do IT. Employment opportunities are just another indicator of that. When the IT market is stagnant in PC-units shipped, demand continues to grow for folks with knowledge/experience of GNU/Linux.

See HotLinuxJobs: The demand has always outstripped the supply for Linux professionals.

  • Apr 23 / 2014
  • 2

China White-Box Tablet Competition

Not only is Wintel feeling the pressure in price/performance for ARMed tablets running FLOSS“Ex-factory pricing of a 7-inch white-box tablet is expected to drop to between US$30-40 in 2014 and every inch larger will add US$10 to the price range, indicating that a 10-inch white-box tablet’s ex-factory price will be about US$70-80.” The lowering of prices will continue for a year or more longer. Information will be $free, nearly, in the future with Wintel no longer able to tax the roads, rails and air-waves. Intel is giving away its processors to stem the tide but Google’s dream of exposure to every human on the planet is another year closer.

See China white-box tablet prices expected to drop in 2014.

  • Apr 22 / 2014
  • 12

Intel Desperately Struggles To Maintain Relevance Against ARM

Intel, despite Moore’s Law advantages, and serious price-cutting, still has difficulty competing against ARM.“Intel is currently offering its dual-core Atom Z2520 for 7-inch models and Atom 3735G for 8-inch ones, while MediaTek is mainly pushing solutions such as 8382 for the white-box tablet market, the sources said.
Intel’s 7-inch tablet solution is currently priced at about US$20 and the 7.85-inch one around US$27. With a LTE module, which raises the overall cost by about US$20, a 7-inch Intel-based white-box tablet currently has an ex-factory price of about US$50, the sources detailed.
A 3G white-box tablet using MediaTek’s solution has a competitive ex-factory price of US$39.9, the sources added.”
They even have ASUS going exclusively with Intel thanks to huge discounts.

OEMs are paying attention. They will demand similar sharp price-cuts for desktop/notebook PCs and M$’s price will stick out like a sore thumb. GNU/Linux, here we come…

See Intel, MediaTek become favorites in China white-box tablet industry.

  • Apr 21 / 2014
  • 22

M$, You Fooled Most Of The People For A Long Time. Face The Consequences Of Their Awakening.

While stifling competition for decades, M$ fostered the myth that it was the one true way to use IT in business operations and personal life.“In terms of technology development, demand for the new desktop Windows operating system has been weak since Microsoft has placed its focus on strengthening Windows 8′s touchscreen control, causing an inconvenience for users who are used to mice and keyboards. Windows RT 8.1 is currently having issues over weak performance and lack of applications, while Windows Phone is seeing problems in application compatibility.” What happens when most of the planet has seen other operating systems (Android/Linux for example) doing the job as well as or better than M$’s stuff? There will be a pronounced rebound in “customer loyalty”. Seeing proper IT happening on small cheap computers completely blows out of the water that behemoth of a lie that computers have to be big and expensive.

Today, I see M$’s big box computers gathering dust in retail establishments and only selling well into businesses who may not have accepted BYOD (Bring Your Own Device) or the fact that new employees may not actually have used M$’s OS ever. On the other hand, many more small cheap computers sold last year than M$’s legacy stuff and this year even more will sell. M$ is compensating by raising costs for business but that is just cutting off the limb of the tree … Even if M$ somehow manages to persuade the majority of businesses to stick with them, consumers seem to be lost forever, cutting M$ off from a huge and growing market. At best M$ will get 1/N of that pie and for the moment they are far less than that. With businesses using more web applications and M$ not having any monopoly on web-browsers, M$ has nowhere to go but down. It’s late but better late than never.

See Microsoft facing difficulties in 3 major segments.

See also, M$’s declining share of consumer PC OS documented at SEC.

  • Apr 20 / 2014
  • 2

M$ Continues To Jerk Around Dependent Businesses By The Nose Ring

Businesses are M$’s most loyal customers. Some businesses have“come 13 May Microsoft will issue security patches that detail flaws they are fixing and those flaws will be left unpatched for all Windows 8.1 users until they apply Update 1. A nightmare scenario. Users who stay with Windows 8.1 will face the same scenario Windows XP users are in after Microsoft cut off security updates this month, but that came a generous 13 years after XP’s initial release. Come 13 May Windows 8.1 will be just 8 months old. Major updates to previous editions of Windows (then dubbed ‘Service Packs’) also had ‘cut off’ dates for users to apply updates, but they were never so short.” thousands of PCs laden with M$’s software. They have learned to depend on it. Their businesses can’t run if M$’s software does not run.

So, what does M$ do? Require them to take a major update on every installation if the customer wants to receive security updates with just a few weeks’ notice. Give me Debian’s APT package manager any day. I can get package and security updates until the next major release, years in the pipeline, with scarcely any problems. That’s because Debian GNU/Linux is modular and every dependence is known and APT just keeps track of that for you. Give me FLOSS (Free/Libre Open Source Software) any day over that crap that M$ puts out.

M$’s biggest customers may be OK with this. They probably have ways of rolling out updates overnight or whatever with little fuss. They can spend $millions fixing the breakage. The smaller guys may be left exposed for months with this problem. How much damage will the malware do? Want YOUR business left by the side of the road for the carrion-eaters because the software failed to work? Stick with M$. They practically guarantee broken systems.

See Microsoft Abandons Windows 8.1: Take Immediate Action Or Be Cut Off Like Windows XP.

  • Apr 18 / 2014
  • 0

GNU/Linux Gains Half the Loss by M$ in Czech Republic

The breakout by GNU/Linux in the Czech Republic is demonstrated by the following graph. It shows the loss by M$ of desktop page-views since the beginning of 2013 versus the gains by MacOS and GNU/Linux. One can see that MacOS was getting all the joy until mid-2013 but then GNU/Linux rapidly gained half the loss by M$. The rate of decline of M$’s OS is increasing as well. It’s all good.

Top 7 Desktop OSs in Czech Republic from W01 2013 to W16 2014.

  • Apr 17 / 2014
  • 34

FLOSS Is A Winner

No matter how many times we read that FLOSS is junk made by amateurs “In 2013, for the first time, we saw open source quality for the projects in the Scan service surpass that of proprietary projects at all code base sizes. The 2012 Coverity Scan Report looked at a sample analysis of more than 250 proprietary code bases totaling more than 380 million lines of code, with an average codebase of nearly 1.5 million lines of code, and we found that open source code had lower defect density levels up to 1 million lines of code. For the 2013 report, we analyzed approximately 500 million lines of code across almost 500 proprietary C/C++ projects.” the reality is different. FLOSS is made by all kinds of programmers but because it is FLOSS and everyone can run, examine, modify and distribute the software, more eyes make bugs disappear. Coverity is one of the eyes and they tell us that out of hundreds of millions of lines of code scanned, FLOSS has a lower density of defects.

Size of Codebase (Lines of Code) FLOSS Non-Free
Less than 100,000 .35 .38
100,000-499,999 .50 .81
500,000-1 million .70 .84
More than 1 million .65 .71
Average across projects .59 .72

Accept it. No matter whether it’s price, performance or correctness that matters most to you, FLOSS is the right way to do IT.

See 2013-Coverity-Scan-Report.pdf.