Robert Pogson

One man, closing all the windows.

Posts Tagged / adoption

  • Aug 22 / 2014
  • 0

Notebook Reality

All over the web, supporters of Wintel are celebrating the first quarter of growth in ages. Reality is that the top five OEMs of legacy notebook-PCs had growth in their market shares but the market as a whole only grew 1%.“After seven consecutive quarters of shipment declines, the global notebook PC market improved in Q2’14. According to preliminary results from the NPD DisplaySearch Quarterly Mobile PC Shipment and Forecast Report, notebook PC shipments reached 45.1 million units, up 1% Y/Y.” Meanwhile Android/Linux increases an order of magnitude more than that. Smartphones are shipping more units than desktops ever did and tablets are becoming a mature market. The Wintel PC is becoming a niche market, only thriving with businesses who resist change and need keyboards, large screens and pointers.

NEWS FLASH! You can hook those up to many smartphones and all tablets… Even businesses don’t actually need legacy PCs but they are willing to pay well over the market price for desktop IT because they are afraid to change. Change will happen though. It’s inevitable. Governments are changing because taxpayers demand efficiency. Businesses generally don’t care how wasteful they are as long as revenue covers the costs. Even M$ is insisting businesses change to a cloud model. That opens up M$ to competition everywhere and GNU/Linux and FLOSS on small cheap computers has no barrier but retail resistance. Some governments and businesses already have switched to FLOSS. More will do so in the next year or two. The cost of escaping XP is in their face or recent memory. The cost of switching to GNU/Linux can be less than going to M$’s next lock-in.

See Notebook PC Shipment Results Improve after Seven Consecutive Quarters of Decline, According to NPD DisplaySearch.

  • Aug 20 / 2014
  • 11

Reports Of The Death Of GNU/Linux In Munich Are Greatly Exaggerated

Here and elsewhere we read that the mayor and M$ are drooling to pave over GNU/Linux with that other OS in Munich…“Suggestions the council has decided to back away from Linux are wrong, according to council spokesman Stefan Hauf.
He said the council’s recently elected mayor Dieter Reiter has instead simply commissioned a report into the future IT system for the council.”
Not so. The mayor is grumbling and has asked for a review of IT in general. That’s a normal part of the life-cycle of any IT-system or version of software. I did that at several of the schools where I worked and the decision to go to GNU/Linux occurred frequently. In GNU/Linux, a result could be to go to a later release of Debian, or to adopt LibreOffice 4.x or to go with thin clients almost everywhere…

Of course, the mayor might get a different result if he accepts voluntary labour from M$ or hires his nephew to do the research, but the council is wide awake and understands the issues, so I doubt there will be some coup in IT.

Further, I can’t see this mayor being reelected if he urges the city to spend ~$30million on returning to the fold of M$ rather than maintaining GNU/Linux for peanuts.

See Ditching Linux for Windows? The truth isn't that simple, says Munich.

  • Aug 18 / 2014
  • 1

M$ Craps On Their Own Servers. Why Trust Them With Your Computers?

It sickens me to hear the tripe spouted here all too often that, “You get what you pay for…”, “Starting at 18 Aug 2014 17:49 UTC, we are experiencing an interruption to Azure Services, may include Cloud Services, Virtual Machines Websites, Automation, Service Bus, Backup, Site Recovery, HDInsight, Mobile Services, StorSimple and possible other Azure Services in multiple regions.” “FLOSS can’t work…”, and “developers with stock options in M$ do better…”.

How can that be when M$ is constantly patching mistakes they made years ago designing their systems according to the whims of salesmen and despite $billions in vested, can’t keep their networks going anywhere close to what a couple of good servers can do with GNU/Linux? Then there are the constant stream of re-re-reboots, malware, bugs, slowing down and endless friction due to the restrictive EULA. It’s all so sad that people keep paying this monster straight out of a “B” horror-movie. I recommend Debian GNU/Linux. It’s the right way to do IT.

See Microsoft Azure suffers Total Inability To Support Usual Performance (TITSUP).

See also, The Return of BSOD: Does ANYONE trust Microsoft patches?

  • Aug 18 / 2014
  • 0

Paying For FLOSS

FLOSS, Free/Libre Open Source Software, is not about software that costs $0. Most programmers need to be paid for the time/energy/resources they invest in FLOSS.“A few months ago, the Heartbleed bug was discovered in the OpenSSL cryptography library, which plays an absolutely critical role in securing confidential online transactions. We then discovered that for years this critical piece of infrastructural software has been maintained by a handful of overworked volunteers. The industry was rightly shocked by Heartbleed, and some companies – notably Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Intel, IBM, Cisco and Amazon – agreed to donate $300,000 each over the next three years to support the OpenSSL project.” Those most able to pay for FLOSS are the businesses, organizations and users of FLOSS. Unfortunately, because FLOSS is often obtained, legally, by a $Free download, there is no channel direct from those who benefit to those who produce FLOSS. In some cases that doesn’t matter as some developers do it for the love of some application or the joys of programming. In other cases it matters because unfinished or buggy FLOSS is shipped to places that matter.

Businesses have long contributed to Linux because the kernel runs a lot of their equipment like devices found in PCs or servers. Even ordinary users can contribute by obtaining a Linux credit card. Big businesses have not given much support to the GNU or to most FLOSS applications not widely used in business. It’s time that those who benefit from FLOSS pay for it. Several big businesses may now be supporting OpenSSL (Open Secure Sockets Layer) but they should also be supporting FireFox (Google does), LibreOffice, GNU, vlc, mplayer, xbmc, InkScape and all the rest of the organizations that provide and distribute FLOSS (see Debian’s list of packages for a hint). How about the distros, while we’re at it? Support Debian or SUSE or RedHat. Donate or pay for some of their products. See if FLOSS grows or improves as a result. See if the world becomes a better place. You know you need to do it.

See So the internet's winners are finally chipping in? About time….

  • Aug 18 / 2014
  • 4

Real People Now Ready To Accept A Real OS

Christine Hall writes about the evolution of the mental lock-in of ordinary people using IT.“cell phones and tablets have made people less afraid to move away from their Windows comfort zones. Indeed, I think that people have never been in love with Windows, it’s just what they knew. Now that they’ve seen that they’ve been able to learn to use Android and/or iOS like pros, they’re more than willing to move on when it comes to their PCs as well.” She’s seen what I’ve seen, that ordinary people a decade or more ago likely had no clue about anything except that other OS. Now people are willing to try GNU/Linux much more readily.

When I first taught in the North, no one I met had heard much about GNU/Linux and no one had tried GNU/Linux on a desktop, even myself. After a few years of using GNU/Linux in schools, everything changed. I met students, parents and members of the community who had used GNU/Linux before I arrived and I travelled to a new community almost every year. Students and community members also travel and several in each community had previously installed GNU/Linux or attended a school that used GNU/Linux much as I did. That was before Android/Linux and ChromeOS took off…

Today, a good fraction of humans have used Android/Linux on a PC-like smartphone or tablet and they are unafraid. They are used to operating without a EULA around their necks. They are used to an OS that doesn’t slow down or pick up malware like pocket-lint. They are used to an OS that doesn’t artificially raise the price of their PC. They are ready for an OS not designed by salesmen. They are ready for FLOSS and GNU/Linux on desktop/notebook PCs. Suggest they move on. Suggest they visit if they have the functionality to browse the web left in their PC. Suggest they visit too.

See The Time to Recommend Linux & FOSS Is Now.

  • Aug 17 / 2014
  • 3

More, Happening Faster

NCIX just sent me an e-mail announcing a “back to school” special, new smartphones for $99.95…

Look at the features:

Model Features
Samsung Galaxy Note 3™
  • 5.7-inch Full HD Screen
  • 13 megapixel camera
  • 2.3 GHz quad-core processor
Samsung Galaxy S5™

  • 5.1-inch Full HD Screen
  • 16 megapixel camera
  • 2.5 GHz quad-core processor
  • 5.5-inch Quad HD Display
  • 13 megapixel camera
  • 2.5 GHz quad-core processor

Bigger screens with more pixels mean more work for the OS but at ~2.5gHz, it’s taken care of. Oh, yes, Apple’s 5S was in there but it has a smaller screen, for the same price.

What this means in the bigger picture is that many consumers will have all they need in a personal computer in a tiny package for much less cost than a legacy PC even if M$ pays OEMs to install that other OS. We are there. Consumers have choice on retail shelves and M$ need not apply.

  • Aug 15 / 2014
  • 32

The Wintel Treadmill As Seen By Gartner

Gartner reflects on the long time taken by businesses to migrate away from XP. They recommend three alternative strategies to avoid these problems with “7″.

Strategy My take…
“Deploy Windows 8 on new PCs as they arrive, thereby phasing Windows 7 out over time as PCs are replaced — this may make sense for many organizations.” This assumes a treadmill model of PC-deployment, a constant stream of new ones replacing old ones. Why? There is no business case to replace anything in business periodically if it’s still working, not chairs, not tables and not PCs. The longevity of XP was partly due to the longevity of the PCs bearing that OS, nearly 8 years. If the OS breaks sooner, change it, not the PC.
“Skip Windows 8 and plan to deploy a future version of Windows (perhaps Windows Threshold or even a release after that) to replace Windows 7 — we believe most organizations will do this. With this strategy, many will not eliminate Windows 7 before support ends unless they budget extra funding to do so.” This is exactly what businesses did with XP. Where’s the recommendation to avoid XP-itis?
“Deploy Windows 8 on all PCs to eliminate Windows 7 — for most organizations, we see little value in doing this, and do not recommend it without a solid business case.” Exactly! This also means there’s no value in replacing “7″ with any future version. Conversely, one can replace XP or “7″ with GNU/Linux and be better off forever: less malware, fewer re-re-reboots, no Patch Tuesdays, no stream of cash for licensing, forever, etc.

No. The correct solution is to just get off the Wintel treadmill. That makes every move in IT make business-sense. Bolstering M$’s business at the expense of your own makes no sense.

See Plan Now to Avoid Windows XP Deja Vu With Windows 7.

  • Aug 15 / 2014
  • 0

Small, But Not Too Small, Cheap Computers

As the market for Android/Linux smartphones matures, they get bigger and more powerful.“Huawei Honor 3C 4G LTE Smartphone use 5.0 inch screen, Hisilicon Kirin 910 Quad-Core 1.6GHz processor, has 2GB RAM, 16GB ROM, 5MP front camera and 8MP back camera, and installed Android 4.4.” A decade ago, these specs would have been spectacular on a desktop PC. Heck, I was using ~512MB RAM in those days and my digital camera, alone, cost as much…

With a 5 inch screen these things aren’t competing against desktops/notebooks as much as they are competing against tablets. IDC reports 300million smartphones shipped last quarter. Is the market mature yet? The legacy PC reached about 360million units shipped in a year but these days is down to less than 300million in a year.

See Huawei Honor 3C 4G LTE Smartphone.

  • Aug 11 / 2014
  • 20

M$ Has No Clothes

The story goes that a charlatan sold an emperor invisible clothes. It took a child to see that the emperor had no clothes…“up to 60 percent of PCs shipped in the emerging markets of Asia, says IDC research manager Handoko Andi, have no Windows operating system pre-installed – so-called ‘naked PCs’, which usually instead carry some free, open source operating system like Linux. That compares with about 25 percent in the region’s developed markets like Japan and Australia.” Any child knowing a bit of maths can tell that M$’s empire is in deep trouble. From the days when OEMs put M$’s desktop OS on 90% of PCs shipped, that share has fallen to 75% in much of the world and in a few places has fallen to 40%.

You see, people really do love small cheap computers and that other OS is just too expensive. Things have gotten so bad that M$ is paying OEMs to install “8″ on cheap PCs and smart thingies. That’s good, actually. That’s the only way M$ can compete on price/performance with FLOSS on */Linux. The biggest threat to M$’s domination of some markets is that OEMs, consumers and businesses will demand equal treatment… Why should that other OS cost more on bigger/more powerful/more expensive PCs? It shouldn’t. On the other hand, M$ is telling the world that it supplies the same OS on all devices… Chuckle. Do you pay more per kg when you buy bread in bigger loaves, detergent in bigger boxes, or fuel in bigger cars? Nope. That’s not how things should work in a free market.

See 'Naked PCs' lay bare Microsoft's emerging markets problem.

  • Aug 10 / 2014
  • 5

GNU/Linux Grows Faster In Popularity In India

Again we find the rapid growth of GNU/Linux in India is better than other places because GNU/Linux has actual salesmen motivated to push the product. It would grow much faster in Canada with some retail shelf-space and a few salesmen, that’s for sure.

“The Linux-based operating system grew 50% year-over-year in India. Canonical, the company behind Ubuntu, has partnered with Dell and HP to bundle the OS with certain models of their laptops offered in India.”

See India opens up to operating system Ubuntu.

  • Aug 08 / 2014
  • 2

Oh No! M$ Acts Like It Has A Monopoly On Smartphone OS…

The train wreck that is M$ as a supplier of client device operating system caused yet another jolt today.“We are permanently retiring all Skype apps for Windows Phone 7. As a result, within the next few weeks, you’ll no longer be able to sign in and use Skype on any Windows Phone 7 device” With users locked in to their OS, M$ was able to lead millions into slavery on the Wintel treadmill grinding $billions for M$ coffers. Today is a new day, though. M$ no longer has a monopoly on anything. Outraged users can flee to Android/Linux smartphones or just about any other brand of smartphone and escape the trap M$ has set. Expect to see M$’s share of the smartphone universe plunge. It’s already in last placePenfield, you were right.

See Win Phone 7 users aghast Microsoft axed Skype for their phones.

  • Aug 08 / 2014
  • 14

The Good Times Roll… Unless You’re Heavily Into Wintel

For months (years?) Wintel has been up-beat about prospects for recovery, if only this or that happens. We are now into heavy replacement of XP and this is all they can do:

I think it’s time we all accepted reality. Wintel is a dead horse. It may be massive but it is starting to rot. Stop beating it. There’s just no reason to pay premium prices for legacy hardware/software when there are smaller and cheaper choices that do the job.