“2013 EV sales in Canada totaled over 1,600 for battery EVs (BEV) and plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEV) each. Since that time the market has only seen temporary leveling of a month or two. Annual numbers have always built upon previous years as the market continues to grow. 2017 is a perfect example of that fact as sales stats half way through the year are up 70% over the first half of 2016. With the trajectory of sales only heading up and at a faster pace, Q2 may be the quarter where the EV takeover became official”
See Electric Vehicle Sales In Canada, Q2 2017I have a horse in this race. I put down a deposit on a “2017” Solo EV which might be delivered about this time next year.
The statistics on sales of current EVs suggest:
- Canadians don’t seem to want weird boxy-shaped EVs, and
- Canadians by the thousands have been shelling out huge prices for fancier EVs.
I know a few Canadians. I are one. We are reluctant to go with weird shapes. Solo EV, having 3 wheels, might get some notice in the looks department. OTOH, Solo is very streamlined and not boxy. I think that could work. Further, I think a lot more Canadians would be interested in EVs if the price and cost of ownership were less. Solo has that covered with an extremely low air-drag and a good battery capacity for the weight and drag. Three wheels helps a bit too as there’s less rolling resistance and air-drag on the wheels.
Overall, I’d say Solo will do much better than some of the newcomers for looks/performance and better than the top brands for cost/efficiency. There’s a market there. How large it will be is debatable but judging by the numbers for other newcomers, it’s in line with proposed production numbers for the plant in Richmond, BC, and the factory in China will be able to handle any slack. I think Solo could sell 1000 units in Canada by some time in 2019 if not sooner. If the Government of Canada wakes up and formulates a policy to drive electrically, Solo is a winner. EMV already have thousands of orders so I don’t think there’s any problem getting orders unless the wheels fall off. Solo could be taking some share from Tesla and Nissan for those who just want a car for commuting/errands. That’s a big slice of the pie. Once the first 1000 are sold, I think there will be an avalanche of sales, the old “positive feedback” thing.
I bet by 2020, everyone will be making a Solo-like car for commuters/urban/short-trippers and Solo will be in the lead in that segment. Combined with the ever increasing popularity of EVs, EMV could be building multiple North American factories to serve demand.