IDC Sees Wintel On The Edge Of A Precipice

“Complacency and a lack of innovation among OEM vendors and other parts of the PC ecosystem has occurred over the past five years. As a result, PC market growth flattened in 2012 and may stagnate in 2013 as users continue gravitating to ever more powerful smartphones and tablets.

This year, over 2 billion users will access the Internet. What makes this compelling is not the number of users going online, but rather the number of devices that will be used to gain access. Over half of these users will access the Internet with mobile devices, which means that system OEMs and semiconductor suppliers need to emphasize technology that offers better performance, optimizes power for all day mobility, and drives integration and cost savings by leveraging heterogeneous SoC-based solutions across every form factor.

see IDC Announces Study Highlighting New Roadmap on the Future of Personal Computing.

There are still those that see the Wintel PC as the anchor of IT but it is really a millstone around the neck of IT. Instead of letting Wintel drag everyone down, OEMs, software developers, retailers and consumers are turning to Free Software and open systems to get done what they want. A large monitor and a keyboard are not the sole property of Wintel PCs. Consumers now have Android/Linux, GNU/Linux and other offerings besides the legacy stuff from Apple, M$ and its “partners”.

Five years ago, I would see 47 varieties of Wintel PCs on retail shelves. This year I see 5 varieties of Wintel and 47 varieties of other personal computing devices, largely tablets and smartphones but more GNU/Linux desktops and notebooks are being produced and sold every year. Real competition has entered the market for consumers’ money and legacy Wintel has lost traction and mind-share. Business usage of Wintel PCs seem to be the last hold-out but even business is using smart thingies as accessories to Wintel PCs and thin clients to access Wintel applications. M$’s grip on IT is broken. We expect to see that in the numbers this week as a new release, Christmas and huge outlays on advertising have not advanced M$’s cause much at all.

About Robert Pogson

I am a retired teacher in Canada. I taught in the subject areas where I have worked for almost forty years: maths, physics, chemistry and computers. I love hunting, fishing, picking berries and mushrooms, too.
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