“Global smartphone shipments are expected to grow 30% to 865 million units in 2013, accounting for 43.9% of total handset shipments in the year, Digitimes Research has estimated.”
This is it. A decade ago everyone anticipated having a desktop/notebook PC at home or at work. Now everyone anticipates having a smartphone PC everywhere. The growth rate of shipments of smartphones will slow significantly as we approach the situation that everyone who can afford one will have one but the number of people who can afford a smartphone clearly exceeds the number of people who can afford a desktop/notebook PC and the greater mobility and superior flexibility of Android/Linux over that other OS are the last nails in the coffin of that other OS as the dominant force in IT. I expect 2013 will see more widespread adoption of GNU/Linux as well as prices of desktop/notebook PCs plunge in order to compete on price/performance. Tablets, of course, are still growing but at a much slower rate. What they have in larger screens is offset by the amazing mobility of the smartphone.
At the same time that acceptance/accessibility of smartphones peaks, the realization that few of us actually create content or have devices that interface with a desktop/notebook PC sufficiently to justify the greater cost and consumption of resources of the desktop/notebook PC compared to the fantastic customization of smartphones with apps for everyone is just too much for any exclusive dealing or advertising to overcome. While 2013 may not be the year of GNU/Linux desktops it certainly will be the year after the Wintel monopoly became a sick old man.