The World of IT According to IDC at Robert Pogson

I disagree with IDC’s view of the world in a couple of ways:

They seem to like linear growth, which works for rates of production, but ignores consumer demand feeding fires… The growth of tablet shipments has been 100%+ for two years now. It will not slow down. People really do like small cheap computers, IDC, and they can afford more of them, a lot more.
They assume the world owes Wintel a living and will continue to run on the treadmill forever. A keyboard added to some small cheap computer will do a lot of what people need doing, IDC.

So, take the following chart with a grain of salt and expect a revised version next year. Africa and China are skipping the Age of Wired and going straight to wireless with small cheap computers. They won’t wait for linear growth of production. Someone will meet that demand for the next few billion users. I expect little or no growth of the Wintel market for years to come.

Chart: Worldwide Smart Connected Device Shipments, 2010-2016 (Unit Millions)Description: This data comes from IDC’s WW Quarterly PC Tracker, WW Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, and WW Quarterly Media Tablet and eReader Tracker.Tags: Tracker, mobile phones, tablets, forecast, PCs, devices, consumer, IDC …Author: IDCcharts powered by iCharts

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My Mission

My observations and opinions about IT are based on 40 years of use in science and technology and lately, in education. I like IT that is fast, cost-effective and reliable. I do not care whether my solution is the same as yours. I like to think for myself.

My first use of GNU/Linux in 2001 was so remarkably better than what I had been using, I feel it is important work to share GNU/Linux with the world. I have been blessed by working in schools where students and school systems have benefited by good, modular software easily installed in most systems.

I have shown GNU/Linux to thousands of students and hundreds of teachers over the years and will continue in some way doing that until I die in spite of the opposition.