Archive for June 8th, 2011

The World According to Gartner, IDC and Pogson

Gartner, 2011-6-8
“PCs are transitioning from a one-size-fits-all computing platform to a more-specialized device, prized for its ability to complement other devices. “The PC market is experiencing dramatic structural changes,” said Mr. Atwal.” Moving forward, PCs will no longer be a market by themselves, but part of a larger device market that ranges from smart televisions to the most-basic-feature phones. Within this market, consumers and professionals will increasingly use the combination of devices that best suits their particular needs.”"

IDC, 2011-5-5
“For the first time, IDC is forecasting PC microprocessor units by processor architecture, including those based on x86 and those based on ARM. By 2015, IDC expects that over 13% of PC processors will be based on the ARM architecture.”

Pogson, 2010-9-24
“The spec that jumps out: 1080P for 10 hours on a charge of a smart-phone. Intel is getting close to being able to do that with the battery in a netbook… I think ARM is ahead and pulling away. Did I mention USB3 in a smart-thingy??? How is that not going to end up in a PC, desktop, notebook or netbook? Everyone will want one.”

I’m only 8 months ahead of the pros. Surely that will earn me some creds with the commentators… ;-)

The world of IT is changing, rapidly, and the answer to many problems is no longer Wintel but ARM and Linux. Get used to it. Just as the thin client is taking over the desktop, ARM is taking over all things mobile and Linux works everywhere. Soon ARM will be working everywhere as well.

- Robert Pogson

Libya: Turkey-shoot Begins

Misurata is under heavy shelling … Gaddafi forces are shelling Misurata from three sides: east, west and south.

This looks like a counter-attack by Gaddafi to ease the pressure of the noose closing on Tripoli. NATO will shred this attack and thousands will die for no reason. Good-bye Gaddafi!

- Robert Pogson

Competition Heats Up and Prices Come Down for Android/Linux Tablets

For $hundreds less than the “industry standard” iPad and some expensive Android tablets, you can buy any of a dozen other good Android tablets. They are competitive. They look good. They work well and the user lacks nothing if iPad and others offer features the user does not need/want.

see, for example,

It’s like Christmas all year round with tablets. Expect explosive growth in shipments of Android/Linux tablets. If I get another job, one of these babies is mine!

- Robert Pogson

M$ Attacks its “Partners”

M$’s partners do most of the work, selling, making, shipping and advertising that other OS. Imagine how the “partners” will feel when M$ competes directly with them, shipping its own-brand PCs…
“Microsoft is reportedly considering to launch an own-brand tablet PC that features Windows 8 by the end of 2012 with cooperation from Texas Instruments and Taiwan-based OEMs/ODMs, according to sources from the upstream supply chain

the sources pointed out that the system vendors’ dissatisfaction with Microsoft launching own-brand tablet PCs is unlikely to impact Microsoft significantly in the short term.”

see Digitimes – Microsoft reportedly considers launching own-brand tablet PC

How about in the long term? Yes! The monopoly dies with “8″. How would you feel if M$ sold its PCs without “the tax” and “the tax” was larger than your margin??? Expect to see a lot more PCs shipping with Linux and expect to see a lot more PCs on retail shelves with Linux.

M$ has Apple-envy and wants to become vertically integrated. Expect an uncivil war with “partners”.

- Robert Pogson



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My Mission

My observations and opinions about IT are based on 40 years of use in science and technology and lately, in education. I like IT that is fast, cost-effective and reliable. I do not care whether my solution is the same as yours. I like to think for myself.

My first use of GNU/Linux in 2001 was so remarkably better than what I had been using, I feel it is important work to share GNU/Linux with the world. I have been blessed by working in schools where students and school systems have benefited by good, modular software easily installed in most systems.

I have shown GNU/Linux to thousands of students and hundreds of teachers over the years and will continue in some way doing that until I die in spite of the opposition.

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