BBC reports one of two major events proving that Gaddafi is losing his grip:
- 100 officers (including 2 generals, a colonel and a major) and men defected recently , giving a press conference in Italy, and
- according to Al Jazeera, a street in Tripoli filled with protesters, something not seen for months.
NATO claims Gaddafi’s forces are reduced to 20% effectiveness. That’s a threshold below which most armed forces are reduced to chaos and impotence. They may continue to do damage but cannot hold territory nor impose Gaddafi’s will generally. Likely this means Gaddafi’s forces will concentrate around Tripoli and Sirte where they are clearly strong. We should see the opposition making major advances shortly. There are foreign trainers with boots on the ground and some nifty snipers’ rifles… Perhaps they have a use for those helicopters, too.