Allastair Otter is of the opinion that
“No matter what store you put in these various statistics the truth is that Linux is just a bit player in the desktop operating system market.”
That’s crap, pure and simple. The stats he quotes are bogus. They don’t get MacOS share close and we know them precisely because Apple states unit shipments in it filings with the SEC. 4.143 million Mac shipments per quarter. The world is shipping 90 million personal computers in a quarter. That comes to 4.6% while NetApplications claims 5.25%. Similarly Forbes claims M$ has only a 72% attach rate these days. That leaves 13% for GNU/Linux. If the desktop war is over why is M$ losing share?
I expect that by the end of the year, some of the “mobile” technology will be widely used in desktops. There is no reason not to do that and M$ has no play so their share will fall even faster. Everything Otter wrote is out to lunch when that happens. The world is also switching to thin clients many of which already are running GNU/Linux.
UPDATE I was asked to defend the share number for that other OS. I found it by searching on Forbes’ site, Forbes.com. If you click on the “full version” and then share and “competition” you find most predict lower shares into the future.