I am excited about the progress the Debian GNU/Linux developers are making in their bug count. I am collecting data from http://bugs.debian.org/release-critical/ in order to estimate the date of arrival (zero bugs!). I set up a spreadsheet with a least-squares fit to a line. In the first few days, the arrival date jumped around from Aug 1 to Nov 1. I will update this post as the situation develops.
Date Bug-count Extrapolation 2010-05-01 584 582 2010-05-02 582 580 2010-05-03 571 578 2010-05-04 576 577 2010-05-05 579 575 2011-04-29 0
The average daily rate of drop in bug-count based on current release-critical bugs is 3 to 6 bugs per day. The data looks like there is a defacto freeze in place if not an official one. I suspect developers will try not to introduce new stuff from now on so that the bugs will float to the top and be disposed.