M$ – Huge Corporate Waste

“Windows 8 joins a growing list of Microsoft’s failures and missed opportunities – instances where the software giant was either caught out, or where Ballmer pooh-poohed the competition and later had to eat his words and burn billions of dollars playing catch up. A gargantuan share of the technology sector, and accompanying revenue, that could have gone to Microsoft has been lost to Google, Apple and Samsung, a trio that has snapped up the online ads and search, and phone and tablet markets.”
see Hey, Teflon Ballmer. Look, isn't it time? You know, time to quit?

While Ballmer fiddles, M$ burns through $billions in R&D and can’t make a new product that sells. The channel is plugged with old product and it’s not moving off retail shelves. They are even going to give away the next release, fixing the gross deficiencies of “8″. From where will future revenue come? Businesses using thin clients and Android/Linux smart thingies? Cloud services? A cloud application that requires purchasing a client application? I don’t think so. Tying everything to a sinking Windows TM client will pull the plug on future revenue. “7″ did save the company from the Vista fiasco when they refused to fix Vista for $0 but there’s no saving M$ from the missed opportunity to expand on ARM. Moore’s Law and Intel will not give M$ back that opportunity. By the time M$ develops a new product, the world will have moved on.

In the meantime, M$ is having to reduce prices over a shrinking share of IT. In a year or two, their revenue will plunge and the cash to placate investors, OEMs and retailers will be gone.

The balance sheets and dividends do look healthy but only if you don’t look too closely. Current liabilities come to $32billion and longer-term liabilities come to $25billion. The value of the common stock at $66billion could vanish rapidly. $2billion of their net cash from operations, $9.6billion, was previously deferred revenue. A year ago that was just a few $million. Further, deferred revenue, mostly long-term volume licensing, was down $2billion. The unearned revenue for Windows was down $800million per quarter when their “hot”, “new” product “8″ should be selling like hot cakes. It’s not. That means the gravy is product customers paid for which they may never receive. That’s not a sound business plan. That’s not a way to maintain the loyalty of customers. Discounts and give-aways may not be enough.

At the same time that Ballmer is mismanaging the store, */Linux on ARM is outselling Wintel by many units per annum and */Linux is moving onto legacy PCs in a big way. 2013 has nothing but downside for the client division. The server division is stuck between the client and the cloud. The world does not need M$ taxing IT anywhere these days, not HPC, not servers, not the cloud, not mobility and not the client.

- Robert Pogson

City of Munich – IT Capital of Germany

Munich claims to be the IT capital of Germany. Is it a case of chicken versus egg? Did Munich’s migration to GNU/Linux stimulate local IT businesses or did local businesses empower Munich to migrate? Rather than worry about such things, both Munich and its IT system roll on.

see City of Munich – Munich new video for start-up scene

- Robert Pogson

China Smartphone Market Going Flat Out

“the pace of inventory build-ups have been unable to catch up with the growth in demand for smartphones in China and other emerging markets, said the sources, noting that overall shipments of smartphones by China-based makers for domestic and overseas sales have skyrocketed to 30 million units a month recently compared to 20 million units in the first quarter of 2013.”
see China market: Several smartphone components in short supply

Eat your heart out, Wintel… While you have negative growth in shipments, stuff with Android/Linux on ARM is maxed out, limited by supplies of components to growth over 100% per quarter.

- Robert Pogson

The Place of FLOSS in End-User Computing

  • Smartphones
  • Tablets
  • Legacy PCs – Dell sells a raft of legacy PCs with GNU/Linux to businesses right here in Canada but not a single one for consumers… HP will sell to consumers as well, but you have to dig a bit. The default page lists none. It shows “Windows 8 or other operating systems available”. Searching finds Ubuntu GNU/Linux however. The consumer has to want GNU/Linux before that happens… That’s not really offering to sell GNU/Linux. That’s reluctantly agreeing to sell GNU/Linux to persistent consumers who mostly do not even know what an operating system is.

So, where OEMs and retailers offer to sell FLOSS systems, those systems clog the channels with high volumes and where OEMs and retailers pay homage to M$, FLOSS systems languish with small shares. What’s wrong with this picture? It’s not a free market for legacy PCs. It’s long past the time when governments should have slapped this organized criminal behaviour to exclude competition from the market. There is no shortage of software that consumers want. There is no shortage of viable operating systems. OEMs could put Android/Linux or any other distro on PCs and they would sell like hotcakes. Meanwhile, OEMs and retailers are faced with huge stocks of systems with that other OS not selling. It’s clearly in the best interest of comsumers, retailers and OEMs to sell GNU/Linux. Why don’t they get on with running their businesses instead of M$’s?

- Robert Pogson

Croatia On The Path To Freedom

“President Josipović also expressed his "complete support" for the government plans to implement open source and open standards in the public sector’s IT.”
see Croatia's President praises creative spirit of open source community

Croatia is a small energetic country with a bright future if they keep making such good decisions.

How refreshing when the leader of a country actually leads its people towards software freedom.

Free Software comes with a licence that permits the recipient to run the software without restrictions, to examine the software, to modify the software and to redistribute the software modified or not under these terms. It’s a beautiful system and the right way to do IT for governments, organizations large or small and for individuals. To try out Free Software I suggest trying Debian GNU/Linux one of the largest and longest existing distributions of Free Software.

- Robert Pogson

A Decade Of Service At Groklaw. Thank you, PJ

“FUD withers in sunlight. It only works when people lack accurate information.”
see Groklaw – Happy 10th Anniversary, Dear Groklaw! Happy 10th Anniversary to Us! ~pj

How much FUD GROKLAW deflated:

  • GPL is evil/unconstitutional,
  • Linux was copied from UNIX operating systems,
  • The world owes SCOG, M$, and lots of other parasites per user/user/machine, etc., and
  • Software Patents are good for us…

I must say I felt terribly bad when SCO claimed Linux was theirs to tax. I didn’t fully understand the world of FLOSS in those days. PJ educated all of us with thorough research and detailed legal investigations. Fortunately for the world, the courts finally saw through the smoke and mirrors to the truth. Too bad they still haven’t seen through M$’s smoke, but that gives us something for which to live.

Thanks, PJ. You have done a lot of good work and documented everything so that the search engines can pierce FUD in seconds. Thanks.

- Robert Pogson

Struggling IT

I was just reading an advertisement for a product which is supposed to cut the cost of IT so that more resources can be spent productively. It contained this gem:
“According to Gartner, when looking at the total lifetime cost of building or buying a new application, on average 42% of the initial cost of the application is going to be spent, year after year, to maintain that app. Application maintenance is the real problem.

Drilling into that 42% we find that it breaks down into three major buckets. The first bucket is enhancing the application. The second bucket is maintaining the application, break-and-fix, etc. And the final bucket is all the operational costs – the people who run the help desk, delivering upgrades to operating systems and storage environments, etc. These costs are real. “

That description must be describing non-free software because the reality of using FLOSS is much different:

  • The initial costs are much lower as upstream/distros have done a lot of the work of integration. A package manager (software that helps install and update all the software in the system) does much of the work and they’ve already done much of the testing.
  • There is no ongoing licensing cost so most of the work remaining is creating/using content/data, productive work.
  • Because open standards are followed, the cost of extending applications is less because the data can always be moved to another application.

Indeed, FLOSS solves most of the problems of IT and leaves the major part of the budget to creative/innovative work. Schools where I worked had almost zero budgets but with FLOSS a lot got done, limited mainly by imagination not effort.

I recommend using Debian GNU/Linux for the base of all IT. Debian has a huge repository and the best package manager around, APT. It is trivial to create a minimal installation of a computer or cluster and by importing a package-list one can install all the relevant software and nothing else in a few minutes. No requests for quotations, no budget-meetings, no delays. Just make it happen and try it out. You can always do it on existing hardware and move the application to some dedicated/specialized hardware later if you want. Everything is allowed by a FLOSS licence:

  1. You can run the software any way you want.
  2. You can examine it, the ultimate documentation.
  3. You can change it.
  4. You can distribute it or others can distribute it to you, modified or not.

That last feature of FLOSS software is absolutely wonderful. If you integrate a system with some application you can share it with others or have it shared with you at very low cost.

The major costs of using FLOSS are hardware and actual productive use not anything irrelevant/arbitrary. That puts more of your budget to productive use and gives you time to think. One school where I worked actually had a real IT budget for the first year of operation. Because we used FLOSS, twice as much stuff was able to be installed and the cost of operation was trivial. The school increased use of IT many times with no additional costs. Visitors from other schools were amazed because they were usually limited to one PC per classroom and one lab. We had in addition, multiple PCs per classroom, multiple servers, a gigabit/s network, ready access to printers, scanners, and cameras all for the same cost as the usual solution using non-free software. Those savings are real.

- Robert Pogson

Munich’s Score Is 93%

That’s pretty decent as many large organizations consider 80% the maximum share GNU/Linux can easily have of PCs in an organization. Of course that depends on the work that’s done but governments like Munich have diverse operations, everything from collecting garbage to managing land-use. I am sure they could get to 100% eventually but the effort of creating a replacement for a few non-free applications may not be worth their while. They could also find other ways of doing the tasks.

Munich reports all 15K PCs run FLOSS applications and 14K run GNU/Linux. Congratulations, Munich, for getting the job done despite years of political sabotage, FUD from M$ and “partners”, and no end of mud-slinging on the web. You triumphed over them all and now you have a robust and flexible IT-system and $millions saved.
see City of Munich – Current numbers

- Robert Pogson

HP May Recommend That Other OS, but…

HP May recommend that other OS but they are glad to sell you whatever you want:
“Operating system Preinstalled:
Windows 8 64
Windows 8 Pro 64
Ubuntu Linux
FreeDOS 2.0″

see HP 255 Notebook Datasheet

I guess they noticed the slowdown in sales of PCs with a more limited choice. This is HP’s first notebook to be shipped with Ubuntu GNU/Linux. This is part of Canonical’s plan to take over the world.

- Robert Pogson

Scratching an Itch

I have often seen it in my career in teaching. A monthly contract is set and you go to work. At first, you are on fire making plans and setting things up, matching resources against objectives. It is easy to be motivated. Then reality (students) enters its ugly head and plans must be revised to fit reality, good or bad. It becomes the teacher’s task to motivate students who could care less about education and to guide the inspired learners in good directions. Then in the short days of winter, it is easy to be depressed about how things are going and to dwell on the failures rather than the successes. That’s when the good principal steps in and gives an encouraging example or remark. Teachers get fired up all over again responding to the current problems with creative means, doing more with less, getting a teacher’s greatest assets (students) fired up to solve the problems and being pleasantly surprised that impossible tasks become easy when approached differently.

It’s all about inspiration. An inspired person can do difficult things that others consider impossible. Like a fire, you cannot will the fire to grow you have to give it what it needs. It will grow naturally. Yelling at a fire does nothing. Punishing it by removing resources does the opposite of what is required. Rewarding it by dumping an excess of resources just smothers it. The same is true about inspiring people to do great things according to research published recently.

“If you want to help people perform well, make sure that they don’t have to worry about other stuff besides their work and give them positive verbal feedback about the work they do.”
see Motivation and Reward | Zwillingssterns Weltenwald

That’s a good rule to remember to encourage FLOSS developers and contributors to do great work. It’s also why detractors invest so much effort to make FLOSSies feel badly about their work. That reduces inspiration and disrupts productivity. It’s why trolls come to my site to disagree with everyone sharing news of good results in the world of FLOSS. It’s why I ban them eventually…

Look at the heroes of FLOSS. Some of them appear to work incredibly hard for many years with increasing motivation to do well without being paid on “piece work” or per unit of production. Compare that with the minions of non-free software who work for years and produce stuff like Vista or “8″, totally uninspired crapware, which users love to hate. Stuff that actually reduces the motivation of users and reviewers. It’s like those unfortunate souls whose only joy is to share their pain.

FLOSS is the right way to do IT. That’s why I recommend and use daily Debian GNU/Linux, a cooperative product of inspired individuals and organizations scratching their itches to succeed at producing great software. I used to use that other OS but it depressed me greatly by running slowly and crashing just at the instants we needed it to allow me and my students to succeed. In the whole world, over decades, that other OS has been depressing people by arbitrary rules in the EULA forced on people who find nothing else on retail shelves. Rather than abusing users like that FLOSS inspires them to do great things. That’s the right way to do IT, inspired, productive, creative, encouraged…

- Robert Pogson

A Disturbance In The FLOSS In Canada, May 2013

There was a disturbance in the FLOSS this month. See for yourself:
Canada_May_2013

What do I make of this? For such large swings it can only mean some large organization was tweaking their operating systems. It looks to me that a bunch of GNU/Linux and “8″ systems were acquired and some “7″ systems were retired or replaced with XP… The bottom line is that in one month that other OS lost a couple of percents and GNU/Linux doubled to ~2.8%. Who could it be?

see Top 7 Operating Systems in Canada from 1 to 12 May 2013

UPDATE I did another selection over a longer time-span. It appears to show a roll-out of GNU/Linux a month ago followed by another this month. Notice the heartbeat in XP and the serious decline of “7″. I think M$ is losing a big customer.
Canada_May_2013_long

- Robert Pogson

Diagnosis From USA Federal Circuit – Software Patents Are Sick

“Let’s be clear: if all of these claims, including the system claims, are not patent-eligible, this case is the death of hundreds of thousands of patents, including all business method, financial system, and software patents as well as many computer implemented and telecommunications patents.”
see Groklaw – Federal Circuit, en banc, rules in CLS Bank

Quoting from the ruling, ” It is also important to recognize that § 101, while far-reaching, only addresses patent eligibility, not overall patentability. The statute directs that an invention that falls within one of its four enumerated categories “may” qualify for a patent; thus, inventions that are patent eligible are not necessarily patentable. As § 101 itself explains, the ultimate question of patentability turns on whether, in addition to presenting a patent-eligible inven-tion, the inventor also satisfies “the conditions and requirements of this title,” namely, the novelty, nonobvi-ousness, and disclosure requirements of 35 U.S.C. §§ 102, 103, and 112, among others. See 35 U.S.C. § 101.”

Of course, if a computer can “understand” a piece of software that software surely must be “obvious”… chuckle.

” The computer-based limitations recited in the system claims here cannot support any meaningful distinction from the computer-based limitations that failed to supply an “inventive concept” to the related method claims. The shadow record and transaction limitations in Alice’s method claims require “a computer,” CLS Bank, 768 F. Supp. 2d at 236, evidently capable of calculation, storage, and data exchange. The system claims are little different. They set forth the same steps for performing third-party intermediation and provide for computer implementation at an incrementally reduced, though still striking level of generality. Instead of wholly implied computer limitations, the system claims recite a handful of computer components in generic, functional terms that would encompass any device capable of performing the same ubiquitous calculation, storage, and connectivity functions required by the method claims.”

Yup. Merely needing a computer to do the thing doesn’t make it patentable. Chuckle.

” Therefore, as with the asserted method claims, 4 such limitations are not actually limiting in the sense required
under § 101; they provide no significant “inventive concept.” The system claims are instead akin to stating the abstract idea of third-party intermediation and adding the words: “apply it” on a computer. See Mayo, 132 S. Ct.at 1294. That is not sufficient for patent eligibility, and the system claims before us fail to define patent-eligible subject matter under § 101, just as do the method and computer-readable medium claims.”

ROFL!!!

“The question we must consider is whether a patent claim that ostensibly describes such a system on its face represents something more than an abstract idea in legal substance. Claims to computers were, and still are, eligible for patent. No question should have arisen concerning the eligibility of claims to basic computer hardware under § 101 when such devices were first invented. But we are living and judging now (or at least as of the patents’ priority dates), and have before us not the patent eligibility of specific types of computers or computer components, but computers that have routinely been adapted by software consisting of abstract ideas, and claimed as such, to do all sorts of tasks that formerly were performed by humans. And the Supreme Court has told us that, while avoiding confusion between § 101 and §§ 102 and 103, merely adding existing computer technology to abstract ideas–mental steps–does not as a matter of substance convert an abstract idea into a machine.”

WHOOHOO!!! BINGO!

For those unable to parse the legalese, I will paraphrase: “You can’t reinvent painting a work of art by doing it with a paint-brush.”

“We are faced with abstract methods coupled with computers adapted to perform those methods. And that is the fallacy of relying on Alappat, as the concurrence in part does. Not only has the world of technology changed, but the legal world has changed. The Supreme Court has spoken since Alappat on the question of patent eligibility, and we must take note of that change. Abstract methods do not become patent-eligible machines by being clothed in computer language. “

Isn’t that a hoot? Can you hear the patent-FUD rushing out of M$’s collapsing balloon? Can you hear the “partners” who have signed up to pay M$ per Android/Linux smart thingy calling their lawyers and accountants? Can you see the small cheap computers becoming even less expensive? I can.

- Robert Pogson



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My Mission

My observations and opinions about IT are based on 40 years of use in science and technology and lately, in education. I like IT that is fast, cost-effective and reliable. I do not care whether my solution is the same as yours. I like to think for myself.

My first use of GNU/Linux in 2001 was so remarkably better than what I had been using, I feel it is important work to share GNU/Linux with the world. I have been blessed by working in schools where students and school systems have benefited by good, modular software easily installed in most systems.

I have shown GNU/Linux to thousands of students and hundreds of teachers over the years and will continue in some way doing that until I die in spite of the opposition.

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